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Rangers at Avalanche
NHL

New York Rangers at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
3
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
FinalTV KUSA, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the New York Rangers 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 10:48 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.4 to 1.6; shots on goal were NYR 19, COL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.6 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 1 A), 2. Cale Makar (2 G, 1 A), 3. Martin Necas (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    C. Makar2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Necas3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR161419319
COLCOL110114411635

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    J. Miller(5)PPG
    M. Zibanejad (6), A. Fox (14)
    tip-inxG 0.22win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:26
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(15)
    M. Necas (13), S. Girard (2)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:33

2nd period

  1. NYR
    A. Edstrom(1)
    S. Carrick (5), B. Schneider (4)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:58
  2. COL
    C. Makar(7)
    M. Necas (14), N. MacKinnon (20)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.05win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:15

3rd period

  1. COL
    B. Nelson(6)PPG
    S. Malinski (10), S. Wedgewood (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:36
  2. NYR
    J. Miller(6)PPG
    A. Fox (15), M. Zibanejad (7)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-3
    10:18
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(16)
    C. Makar (20), M. Necas (15)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +32 ptsVideo
    3-4
    10:48
  4. COL
    C. Makar(8)EN
    J. Drury (5)
    wristxG 0.51win prob +4 ptsVideo
    3-5
    18:35
  5. COL
    R. Colton(4)EN
    B. Nelson (5)
    wristxG 0.51Video
    3-6
    19:47

Penalties

NYR 12 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:19COLSamuel Girard · Interferencedrawn by Jonny Brodzinski2 min
  • 8:09NYRVincent Trocheck · Interferencedrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 14:02NYRSam Carrick · Interferencedrawn by Devon Toews2 min

2nd

  • 9:56NYRConor Sheary · Holdingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

3rd

  • 0:51NYRWill Cuylle · Trippingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 4:50NYRCarson Soucy · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 9:27COLJack Drury · Trippingdrawn by Braden Schneider2 min
  • 16:06NYRJonny Brodzinski · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalNYR goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 3rd 10:48 — COL 52% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Colton · Goal · xG 0.51C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.51R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.24C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.19M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.17G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.17M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.16V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.12R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.12N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.10R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.07G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.07J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.06M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.05M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04T. Nielsen · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.00S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.00
COL6 G · 4.4 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCOL
1.63 G
All situations
4 G4.4
0.81 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.52 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR20%80%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.57 – 3.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCOL
19
Shots on goal
35
61%
Faceoffs
39%
2/2
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
17
26
Blocked shots
13
17
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4B. SchneiderD011010.01420—22:25
16V. TrocheckC000-400.033327422:15
24C. SoucyD000030.14332—22:00
44V. GavrikovD000-210.00030—21:31
8J. MillerC202-430.672003320:33
23A. FoxD022-420.05020—19:33
10A. PanarinL000-410.04000—18:48
93M. ZibanejadC022-200.060006218:47
29M. RobertsonD000010.00220—17:32
50W. CuylleL000-310.023126716:27
42N. LabaC000-110.130204314:39
60S. MorrowD000010.04030—14:16
13A. LafrenièreL000-110.26210—13:30
43C. ShearyL000010.02022—12:35
22J. BrodzinskiC000000.00002010:28
39S. CarrickC011+110.020125009:57
14T. RaddyshR000+100.00200—08:18
84A. EdstromC101+110.09110005:52
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)33294.8793.37-0.6358:49

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).