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Predators at Panthers
NHL

Nashville Predators at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
▸2
Florida Panthers
1
Final/OTTV FDSNSO, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Florida Panthers 2-1 in overtime, Steven Stamkos scoring at 4:03. The Panthers scored first; the Predators answered. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Steven Stamkos's goal at 4:03 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — NSH 4.2, FLA 4.1; shots on goal were NSH 29, FLA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 3.1 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (1 G), 2. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G), 3. Juuse Saros (30 saves, .968).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros30 saves, .968

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH090511213229
FLAFLA190160303131

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(5)
    S. Bennett (7), A. Greer (5)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:26

3rd period

  1. NSH
    R. O'Reilly(9)
    M. Bunting (10), N. Hague (6)
    backhandxG 0.35win prob +35 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:41

Overtime

  1. NSH
    S. Stamkos(8)
    R. O'Reilly (12), R. Josi (8)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +51 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:03

Penalties

NSH 14 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:59FLAEvan Rodrigues · Interferencedrawn by Fedor Svechkov2 min
  • 2:59NSHFedor Svechkov · Embellishment2 min
  • 3:31FLABrad Marchand · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min
  • 18:08NSHMatthew Wood · Interferencedrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

2nd

  • 3:03FLAA.J. Greer · Trippingdrawn by Reid Schaefer2 min
  • 6:03NSHSteven Stamkos · High stickingdrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 10:30NSHNick Blankenburg · High sticking double minordrawn by Anton Lundell4 min
  • 15:48NSHSpencer Stastney · Hookingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 19:56FLAGustav Forsling · Slashingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min

3rd

  • 2:30FLANiko Mikkola · Interferencedrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 6:52NSHSpencer Stastney · Holdingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 8:20FLABrad Marchand · Interferencedrawn by Brady Skjei2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNSH goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Steven Stamkos, OT 4:03 — NSH 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.33C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.26S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.22A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.22S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.19C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.17A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.17C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.17G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.15J. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.15B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.15S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.13S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.13M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.11B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.08N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.08N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.07L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.03L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.02J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.02C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01D. Sebrango · Missed · xG 0.01
FLA1 G · 4.1 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsFLA
4.22 G
All situations
1 G4.1
2.72 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
1.50 G
Power play
0 G1.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH55%45%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.18 – 3.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsFLA
29
Shots on goal
31
65%
Faceoffs
35%
0/5
Power play
0/6
14
Penalty minutes
12
19
Hits
19
12
Blocked shots
9
17
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011+130.12020—27:08
41N. HagueD011000.04120—23:22
76B. SkjeiD000000.02100—23:05
56E. HaulaL000030.312105822:56
90R. O'ReillyC112+240.720105722:27
9F. ForsbergL000-120.65310—19:20
47M. McCarronC000000.006007718:29
91S. StamkosC101+110.412028017:38
81J. MarchessaultR000030.5110010017:31
83A. WilsbyD000010.03000—16:43
37N. BlankenburgD000010.03004—16:30
77L. EvangelistaR000+110.02000—14:50
40F. SvechkovC000-130.321025012:42
71M. WoodR000-140.59012—12:21
58M. BuntingL011+120.45110—12:17
24S. StastneyD000010.01024—11:54
49R. SchaeferL000000.00110—08:41
89O. WiesblattC000000.00000000:15
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(W)31301.9684.07+3.0764:03

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).