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Panthers at Predators
NHL

Florida Panthers at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸8
Nashville Predators
3
FinalTV FDSNSO, SCRIPPS·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Nashville Predators 8-3. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Bennett's goal at 15:46 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.6, NSH 2.7; shots on goal were FLA 26, NSH 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 36 of 39 (.923); Justus Annunen stopped 7 of 10 (.700), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. A.J. Greer (2 G, 1 A), 2. Sam Reinhart (1 G, 2 A), 3. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Greer2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA4151437826
NSHNSH213013113339

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Greer(5)
    C. Verhaeghe (9), S. Jones (10)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:11
  2. FLA
    E. Rodrigues(6)
    U. Balinskis (3), S. Reinhart (7)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:42
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(9)
    L. Evangelista (9), R. Josi (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:52
  4. NSH
    F. Svechkov(1)
    O. Wiesblatt (3), T. Jost (2)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:32
  5. FLA
    J. Boqvist(3)
    G. Forsling (11), S. Reinhart (8)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:31
  6. FLA
    S. Bennett(5)
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-2
    15:46

2nd period

  1. FLA
    G. Forsling(1)
    M. Samoskevich (9), B. Marchand (12)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    5-2
    1:24

3rd period

  1. NSH
    N. Blankenburg(2)PPG
    M. Bunting (7), E. Haula (8)
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-3
    2:11
  2. FLA
    A. Greer(6)
    C. Verhaeghe (10), U. Balinskis (4)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    6-3
    4:52
  3. FLA
    S. Reinhart(13)
    E. Rodrigues (6), A. Ekblad (5)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +1 ptsVideo
    7-3
    8:33
  4. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(3)
    A. Greer (3)
    backhandxG 0.16Video
    8-3
    12:49

Penalties

FLA 8 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:05NSHMichael McCarron · Interferencedrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 8:08NSHSteven Stamkos · Holdingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

2nd

  • 2:15FLANiko Mikkola · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Wood2 min

3rd

  • 2:06FLAJeff Petry · Trippingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 7:51NSHLuke Evangelista · Roughingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 7:51FLAA.J. Greer · Roughingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min
  • 16:24FLAJeff Petry · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalFLA goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Bennett, 1st 15:46 — FLA 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Svechkov · Goal · xG 0.20M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.20O. Wiesblatt · On goal · xG 0.18F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.17B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.16N. Blankenburg · Goal · xG 0.12L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.08L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.08M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.08B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.07O. Wiesblatt · On goal · xG 0.06M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.06M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.05M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.04N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.04M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.02S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.02O. Wiesblatt · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.01M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 2.7 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNSH
2.68 G
All situations
3 G2.7
2.38 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA50%50%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 2.63

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNSH
26
Shots on goal
39
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
5
15
Giveaways
13
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD011+110.02030—22:28
77N. MikkolaD000+210.03122—22:26
5A. EkbladD011+200.00200—21:36
42G. ForslingD112+310.07000—19:07
17E. RodriguesC112+230.271004618:54
13S. ReinhartC123+140.6300010017:21
9S. BennettC101+420.171003816:55
26U. BalinskisD022+210.13320—16:19
70J. BoqvistC101+120.43010016:18
15A. LundellC000+110.082003116:08
23C. VerhaegheC123+420.18200016:08
2J. PetryD000+200.00144—15:57
10A. GreerL213+530.24102—15:42
63B. MarchandL011+120.17020—15:03
11M. SamoskevichR011+130.20000—14:48
71L. KuninC000-100.002008811:45
18N. GregorL000-100.001004008:41
38J. DevineR000-100.00200—08:41
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(W)39363.9232.65-0.3559:38

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).