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Maple Leafs at Panthers
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
Florida Panthers
1
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Florida Panthers 4-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 14:43 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 12% to 28%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.1 to 1.9; shots on goal were TOR 31, FLA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Joseph Woll (25 saves, .962), 2. Troy Stecher (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sam Reinhart (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Woll25 saves, .962
  2. ★★
    TOR
    T. Stecher1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR211010210431
FLAFLA0111906126

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    T. Stecher(1)
    B. McMann (5), D. Joshua (4)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:24
  2. TOR
    D. Joshua(4)
    B. McMann (6), T. Stecher (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:54

2nd period

  1. FLA
    S. Reinhart(14)SHG
    A. Lundell (14)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:43

3rd period

  1. TOR
    S. Laughton(1)
    S. Lorentz (5)
    wristxG 0.32win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:18
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(13)EN
    A. Matthews (8), M. Domi (6)
    wristxG 0.95Video
    4-1
    19:41

Penalties

TOR 2 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 14:04FLAJack Devine · Hookingdrawn by Philippe Myers2 min

2nd

  • 14:21FLAAaron Ekblad · Holdingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

3rd

  • 5:40TORDakota Joshua · Interferencedrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 16:52FLAEvan Rodrigues · Trippingdrawn by Dakota Joshua2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalTOR goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, 2nd 14:43 — FLA 12% → 28%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.21M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.13B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.12J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.12S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.11B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.09M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.09M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.08U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.08A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.06L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Studnicka · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05A. Greer · Missed · xG 0.04J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.03A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.00S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.00J. Devine · On goal · xG 0.00J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.00U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA1 G · 1.9 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsFLA
4.13 G
All situations
1 G1.9
2.63 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR72%28%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.13 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsFLA
31
Shots on goal
26
72%
Faceoffs
28%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
27
20
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22J. McCabeD000+410.04120—24:27
28T. StecherD112+420.04040—24:26
34A. MatthewsC011040.401209020:36
44M. RiellyD000030.09020—20:33
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000050.06100—20:33
23M. KniesL000-130.59200—19:22
91J. TavaresC101031.522007518:19
11M. DomiC011+130.20300017:45
88W. NylanderR000-100.03000—16:37
55N. RoyC000+230.261008016:21
53E. CowanR000-100.01010—16:15
2S. BenoitD000010.03320—14:00
74B. McMannC022+210.40310013:34
51P. MyersD000000.00230—12:55
81D. JoshuaC112+210.10212011:07
24S. LaughtonC101+110.320105510:52
18S. LorentzC011+100.00100010:23
89N. RobertsonL000+100.01010—09:55
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(W)26251.9621.90+0.9060:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).