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Senators at Stars
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Dallas Stars
▸6
FinalTV Victory+, TVAS·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Ottawa Senators 6-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 9:20 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were OTT 16, DAL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 20 of 26 (.769), 3.3 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 15 of 16 (.938), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Wyatt Johnston (3 G, 1 A), 2. Mikko Rantanen (3 A), 3. Jason Robertson (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    W. Johnston3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Rantanen3 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT071405116
DALDAL0536315626

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Bourque(4)
    I. Lyubushkin (5), O. Bäck (3)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:58
  2. OTT
    J. Sanderson(5)
    D. Perron (9), N. Cousins (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:36
  3. DAL
    J. Robertson(16)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:20
  4. DAL
    W. Johnston(14)
    M. Rantanen (21), J. Robertson (18)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:33

3rd period

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(15)PPG
    M. Rantanen (22), R. Hintz (13)
    snapxG 0.32win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-4
    2:52
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(3)
    M. Rantanen (23), W. Johnston (14)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    7:24
  3. DAL
    W. Johnston(16)PPG
    R. Hintz (14), J. Robertson (19)
    snapxG 0.20Video
    1-6
    15:41

Penalties

OTT 10 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:08OTTMichael Amadio · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Capobianco2 min
  • 9:41DALAlexander Petrovic · Trippingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min

2nd

  • 12:19DALKyle Capobianco · Interferencedrawn by Ridly Greig2 min

3rd

  • 0:35DALMiro Heiskanen · Holdingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 2:13OTTJordan Spence · Trippingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 9:42OTTDylan Cozens · Roughingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 9:42DALRoope Hintz · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
  • 9:42OTTDylan Cozens · Roughingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 14:26OTTMichael Amadio · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalOTT goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, 2nd 9:20 — DAL 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.32J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.23W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.20M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.18R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.17W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.17J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.15O. Bäck · On goal · xG 0.14K. Capobianco · On goal · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.12T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.11J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Bourque · Goal · xG 0.09A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.09C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.07M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.07W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bäck · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01
DAL6 G · 2.7 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsDAL
2.11 G
All situations
6 G2.7
1.91 G
Even strength
4 G1.6
0.20 G
Power play
2 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 63 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT39%61%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsDAL
16
Shots on goal
26
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
31
Hits
21
9
Blocked shots
11
18
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD101010.11110—22:37
2A. ZubD000+110.06100—19:04
43T. KlevenD000-200.07100—18:53
12S. PintoC000+110.033106418:51
33N. MatinpaloD000-100.00320—18:29
10J. SpenceD000-300.03212—18:23
18T. StützleC000-310.491105018:15
28C. GirouxR000010.080204017:27
3N. JensenD000-100.01000—17:08
22M. AmadioR000-130.16104—15:49
71R. GreigC000-220.270004315:44
7B. TkachukL000-220.275002515:00
19D. BathersonR000-210.27200—14:27
57D. PerronL011+110.1510010013:43
24D. CozensC000010.033044013:31
89L. EllerC000-100.001006712:25
20F. ZetterlundL000-100.00300—12:24
21N. CousinsC011+110.08310011:56
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)26206.7692.68-3.3260:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).