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Stars at Senators
NHL

Dallas Stars at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸3
Ottawa Senators
2
Final/OTTV Victory+, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2 in overtime, Roope Hintz scoring at 3:04. The Stars came back from two goals down. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roope Hintz's goal at 3:04 of overtime, which took the Stars' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were DAL 33, OTT 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Linus Ullmark stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (1 G, 2 A), 2. Jake Oettinger (27 saves, .931), 3. Linus Ullmark (30 saves, .909).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    L. Ullmark30 saves, .909

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL061711614333
OTTOTT212090602229

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    D. Batherson(6)
    J. Sanderson (9)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:49
  2. OTT
    N. Jensen(1)
    M. Amadio (2), C. Giroux (9)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:53

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Rantanen(9)
    J. Robertson (12)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:22

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(4)PPG
    M. Rantanen (14), M. Heiskanen (12)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:00

Overtime

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(4)
    J. Robertson (13), M. Heiskanen (13)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:04

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·OTT 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:55OTTDrake Batherson · Holdingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 15:12DALLian Bichsel · Holdingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

2nd

  • 5:31DALLian Bichsel · Holdingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min

3rd

  • 6:43OTTRidly Greig · Trippingdrawn by Lian Bichsel2 min
  • 12:10OTTRidly Greig · High stickingdrawn by Lian Bichsel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalDAL goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Roope Hintz, OT 3:04 — DAL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.19S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.17J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.17N. Jensen · Goal · xG 0.14T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.13D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.13R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.11R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.11R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.10D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.09S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.09D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.08T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.08C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.07T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.07T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.04D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.04D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.04M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.03R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.03T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.03S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.02D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.00D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.00T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.00D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 2.3 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsOTT
2.63 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.12 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL54%46%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsOTT
33
Shots on goal
29
53%
Faceoffs
47%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
24
Hits
15
10
Blocked shots
13
16
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD022+240.16020—28:50
55T. HarleyD000-130.06020—24:12
23E. LindellD000010.04110—23:38
53W. JohnstonC000020.120007123:33
96M. RantanenR112-130.320102521:43
21J. RobertsonL123+160.59300—20:11
18S. SteelC000-130.161005017:42
46I. LyubushkinD000-100.00100—16:47
24R. HintzC101020.394007116:07
91T. SeguinC000020.231005015:53
10O. BäckC000010.00010015:11
49J. HryckowianC000000.00120014:00
28A. PetrovicD000-120.10100—13:31
22M. BourqueC000010.240006013:26
6L. BichselD000000.00604—12:18
15C. BlackwellC000000.003003310:38
12R. FaksaC000010.04110008:56
73A. ErneL000020.11100—08:36
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)29272.9312.29+0.2963:04

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).