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Sharks at Golden Knights
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV NBCSCA, SCRIPPS·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the San Jose Sharks 4-3. The Sharks scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Golden Knights led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colton Sissons's goal at 5:36 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were SJS 21, VGK 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 20 of 24 (.833); Carl Lindbom stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tomas Hertl (2 G), 2. Mitch Marner (1 G, 1 A), 3. Carl Lindbom (18 saves, .857).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    T. Hertl2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Marner1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    C. Lindbom18 saves, .857

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS172905321
VGKVGK1931005424

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:34
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:13

2nd period

  1. VGK
    pokexG 0.48win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:36
  2. VGK
    wrap-aroundxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:02
  3. VGK
    T. Hertl(11)PPG
    M. Marner (20), J. Eichel (21)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    12:38
  4. SJS
    W. Smith(10)PPG
    snapxG 0.22win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-4
    14:40
  5. SJS
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-4
    19:35

Penalties

SJS 4 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

2nd

  • 1:34SJSDmitry Orlov · Hookingdrawn by Shea Theodore2 min
  • 11:02SJSBarclay Goodrow · Hookingdrawn by Ben Hutton2 min
  • 14:06VGKCole Reinhardt · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

3rd

  • 19:25VGKBrayden McNabb · Cross checkingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalSJS goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Colton Sissons, 2nd 5:36 — VGK 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.48M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.42K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.24T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.19T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.17I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.15P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.15T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.14B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.14B. Bowman · Missed · xG 0.13J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.13B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.12T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.11B. Bowman · On goal · xG 0.11I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.10B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.10T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.10C. Reinhardt · On goal · xG 0.10B. Bowman · Missed · xG 0.08S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.07C. Reinhardt · Missed · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marner · Goal · xG 0.05M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.01B. Bowman · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 4.0 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsVGK
2.13 G
All situations
4 G4.0
1.62 G
Even strength
3 G3.2
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS26%74%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 3.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsVGK
21
Shots on goal
24
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
6
22
Blocked shots
18
20
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD000+110.03030—23:15
38M. FerraroD011+220.24310—22:20
37T. LiljegrenD000-100.01040—21:58
9D. OrlovD011-210.06312—20:47
71M. CelebriniC011+140.170103520:10
72W. EklundL101010.24110—19:55
2W. SmithC202040.62000019:53
21A. WennbergC000020.220405018:47
51C. GrafR000-110.18410—17:04
73T. ToffoliC011+110.01110016:53
10T. DellandreaC000-210.062102215:56
4N. LeddyD000-110.01010—15:33
81A. GaudetteR011000.231005014:43
85S. MukhamadullinD000-100.00220—14:13
96P. KurashevC000-210.01000012:58
23B. GoodrowC000000.00202008:14
75R. ReavesR000010.02310—08:07
63Z. OstapchukC000000.003004007:22
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Nedeljkovic(L)24204.8333.54-0.4658:16

Season series

VGK leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).