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Golden Knights at Sharks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at San Jose Sharks

Final/OTTV ESPN+, HULU·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the San Jose Sharks 4-3 in overtime, Reilly Smith scoring at 1:24. The Sharks scored first; the Golden Knights answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Reilly Smith's goal at 1:24 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — VGK 2.8, SJS 2.7; shots on goal were VGK 31, SJS 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.0 goals below expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (1 G), 2. Jeff Skinner (1 G), 3. Philipp Kurashev (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    J. Skinner1 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    P. Kurashev1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK1101111812431
SJSSJS19161800323

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    batxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:31
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.25win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:09

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.16win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:59
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:22

3rd period

  1. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:59
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.00win prob +44 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:26

Overtime

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.18win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:24

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:53SJSShakir Mukhamadullin · High stickingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min

2nd

  • 2:35VGKWilliam Karlsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
  • 5:38VGKTomas Hertl · Boardingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
  • 6:31VGKMitch Marner · Slashingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
  • 14:15SJSShakir Mukhamadullin · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Dorofeyev2 min
  • 16:55SJSAdam Gaudette · Hookingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min

3rd

  • 7:33VGKTomas Hertl · Illegal check to headdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 15:02SJSWill Smith · Hookingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalVGK goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Reilly Smith, OT 1:24 — VGK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.71P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.27J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.27T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.21A. Wennberg · Goal · xG 0.16T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.12C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.11M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.09J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.08J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07P. Kurashev · Goal · xG 0.07D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.05W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.04T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.03J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.03T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.02S. Mukhamadullin · Missed · xG 0.02W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01T. Liljegren · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.01W. Smith · Missed · xG 0.00A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.00T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 2.7 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsSJS
2.84 G
All situations
3 G2.7
2.13 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK65%35%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 1.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsSJS
31
Shots on goal
23
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
14
17
Giveaways
24
1
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD011+230.38040—24:52
9J. EichelC112+130.172106522:34
93M. MarnerR000+220.1120210022:25
3B. McNabbD000000.04260—21:15
61M. StoneR022+110.18220—19:22
5J. LauzonD000-110.03310—18:18
16P. DorofeyevR101040.66000—18:10
48T. HertlC011020.061045017:53
2Z. WhitecloudD000-110.02110—15:13
20B. SaadL000-110.05000—14:53
6K. KorczakD000020.06200—14:50
71W. KarlssonC000020.160124714:35
17B. HuttonD011010.01100—14:28
49I. BarbashevL000010.24300—14:13
19R. SmithR101+130.24000—13:21
10C. SissonsC000010.010007311:51
21B. HowdenC101020.362005009:53
55K. KolesarR011010.01110—09:44
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(W)23203.8702.04-0.9660:15

Season series

VGK leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).