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Canadiens at Avalanche
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ALT, TSN2·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Montréal Canadiens 7-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Landeskog's goal at 13:25 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were MTL 23, COL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 29 of 36 (.806), 2.8 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Brock Nelson (2 G, 2 A), 2. Gabriel Landeskog (2 G, 1 A), 3. Martin Necas (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    B. Nelson2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Necas3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0121516223
COLCOL214310212736

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:32
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.23win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:25

2nd period

  1. COL
    snapxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    0:50
  2. COL
    snapxG 0.18win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    3:55
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.08win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-4
    8:27
  4. COL
    wristxG 0.32win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-5
    19:05

3rd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.13Video
    1-6
    2:51
  2. MTL
    L. Hutson(4)PPG
    slapxG 0.07Video
    2-6
    5:10
  3. COL
    tip-inxG 0.12Video
    2-7
    6:52

Penalties

MTL 10 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:50COLBrock Nelson · High stickingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
  • 13:25MTLserved by Florian Xhekaj · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

2nd

  • 18:04MTLOliver Kapanen · Roughingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 18:04COLMartin Necas · Holding the stickdrawn by Oliver Kapanen2 min

3rd

  • 4:18COLDevon Toews · Slashingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
  • 5:45MTLJake Evans · High stickingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 9:22MTLJosh Anderson · Cross checkingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 15:07MTLJosh Anderson · Slashingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalMTL goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Landeskog, 1st 13:25 — COL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.32B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.24G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.23B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.18J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.18N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.16M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.16B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.15J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.14G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.13D. Toews · Goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.12S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.12G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Bardakov · On goal · xG 0.09C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.09C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.09V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.07J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.06B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.05B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.04B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03I. Ivan · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Bardakov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.00S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00
COL7 G · 4.2 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsCOL
2.12 G
All situations
7 G4.2
1.51 G
Even strength
6 G3.3
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL19%81%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 4.11

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsCOL
23
Shots on goal
36
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
13
17
Blocked shots
10
17
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000-220.09010—23:10
45A. CarrierD000-310.00050—22:53
48L. HutsonD101-120.08110—22:30
53N. DobsonD000-220.27110—21:46
14N. SuzukiC011-120.191003818:43
13C. CaufieldR011-210.15010—17:05
91O. KapanenC011020.080123816:32
20J. SlafkovskýL011-110.062103315:47
90J. VelenoC000-200.002005615:08
93I. DemidovR101020.22010—14:12
17J. AndersonR000-120.2811410013:55
76Z. BolducR000-110.19210—13:54
71J. EvansC000-120.143024713:53
72A. XhekajD000-200.00900—13:46
42A. EngstromD000010.03120—13:29
85A. TexierL000-200.02100—12:26
11B. GallagherR000-220.1520010011:09
63F. XhekajL000-100.13110—10:35
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(L)36297.8064.16-2.8460:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).