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Avalanche at Canadiens
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
3
Montréal Canadiens
▸7
FinalTV ALT, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Colorado Avalanche 7-3. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Suzuki's goal at 7:33 of the first period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 64% to 79%. Expected goals were close — COL 2.9, MTL 2.8; shots on goal were COL 29, MTL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 21 of 28 (.750), 4.2 goals below expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Nick Suzuki (2 G, 1 A), 2. Jakub Dobes (26 saves, .897), 3. Juraj Slafkovský (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Dobes26 saves, .897
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL15112112329
MTLMTL3921227728

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    N. Dobson(10)
    L. Hutson (45), J. Slafkovský (23)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:56
  2. COL
    B. Nelson(28)
    J. Manson (18), S. Girard (9)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:09
  3. MTL
    N. Suzuki(17)PPG
    I. Demidov (33), L. Hutson (46)
    snapxG 0.33win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:51
  4. MTL
    N. Suzuki(18)SHG
    O. Kapanen (12), M. Matheson (22)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:33

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Evans(7)
    K. Guhle (3), Z. Bolduc (11)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    16:36
  2. MTL
    K. Dach(6)
    Z. Bolduc (12)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-5
    17:16
  3. COL
    J. Kiviranta(2)
    S. Malinski (22), J. Drury (10)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    18:06

3rd period

  1. COL
    R. Colton(6)
    V. Nichushkin (18)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-5
    4:38
  2. MTL
    A. Carrier(6)
    N. Suzuki (44), K. Dach (3)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-6
    5:45
  3. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(20)
    O. Kapanen (13), I. Demidov (34)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-7
    9:55

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:24COLKeaton Middleton · Cross checkingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 6:14MTLJosh Anderson · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

2nd

  • 0:37MTLCole Caufield · High stickingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 3:14COLSam Malinski · High stickingdrawn by Ivan Demidov2 min

3rd

  • 19:39MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Keaton Middleton2 min
  • 19:39COLKeaton Middleton · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalCOL goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Suzuki, 1st 7:33 — MTL 64% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.33J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.29N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.19A. Carrier · Goal · xG 0.18N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.14J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.14J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.14N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.12I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.10K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.10I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.09K. Dach · Goal · xG 0.09Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.07O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Evans · Goal · xG 0.07Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.07J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dobson · Goal · xG 0.05K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.05M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.04I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.03J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.01K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.01P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.01K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL7 G · 2.8 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsMTL
2.93 G
All situations
7 G2.8
2.53 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL51%49%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.84 – 2.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsMTL
29
Shots on goal
28
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
22
8
Blocked shots
21
17
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000-230.23000—24:02
84B. BurnsD000-310.01020—21:30
29N. MacKinnonC000-320.230004321:09
70S. MalinskiD011+140.15002—21:00
88M. NecasC000-330.46000020:57
42J. MansonD011-120.20100—19:13
62A. LehkonenL000-240.52210—17:55
49S. GirardD011+130.34120—17:28
11B. NelsonC101-210.042004617:10
95V. OlofssonL000010.07000—15:21
13V. NichushkinR011-100.06200—15:13
18J. DruryC011+100.002007314:20
17P. KellyC000010.198104013:11
67K. MiddletonD000-100.00214—12:58
20R. ColtonC101-120.25310012:37
54G. BrindleyC000010.06000011:37
94J. KivirantaL101+110.05200—11:14
93Z. BardakovC000000.01000010:17
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(L)28217.7502.84-4.1660:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).