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Canadiens at Mammoth
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
Utah Mammoth
3
FinalTV Utah16, TSN2·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Utah Mammoth 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Mammoth led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ivan Demidov's goal at 4:47 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 4.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were MTL 17, UTA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 13 of 17 (.765), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Suzuki (2 G, 1 A), 2. Zachary Bolduc (1 G, 2 A), 3. Barrett Hayton (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    Z. Bolduc1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    B. Hayton1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL270525417
UTAUTA06313015334

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    Z. Bolduc(5)PPG
    L. Hutson (16), N. Suzuki (19)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:38
  2. MTL
    N. Suzuki(6)
    C. Caufield (10), Z. Bolduc (4)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    16:37

2nd period

  1. UTA
    B. Hayton(3)PPG
    C. Keller (13), M. Sergachev (13)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:43
  2. UTA
    K. Yamamoto(3)
    D. Guenther (9), L. Cooley (9)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:58
  3. UTA
    M. Carcone(4)
    K. Stenlund (3), J. Marino (10)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:52

3rd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(7)PPG
    Z. Bolduc (5), B. Gallagher (9)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-3
    3:20
  2. MTL
    I. Demidov(5)
    O. Kapanen (5), N. Dobson (13)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +27 ptsVideo
    4-3
    4:47

Penalties

MTL 10 PIM·UTA 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:02UTAJack McBain · Trippingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min
  • 9:09UTAJohn Marino · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Demidov2 min
  • 17:20MTLMike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

2nd

  • 9:07MTLAlexandre Carrier · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:52MTLJared Davidson · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 13:52UTABrandon Tanev · Roughingdrawn by Jared Davidson2 min
  • 13:52MTLJared Davidson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min

3rd

  • 1:53UTAKailer Yamamoto · Holdingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
  • 7:57MTLOliver Kapanen · High stickingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalMTL goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Ivan Demidov, 3rd 4:47 — MTL 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Carcone · Goal · xG 0.38K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.31M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.25N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.20C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.18K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.18D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.17D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.16K. Yamamoto · Goal · xG 0.16L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.16N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.16C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.16K. Yamamoto · Missed · xG 0.16N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.15D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.14B. Hayton · Goal · xG 0.14L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.13M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.10M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.09J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.07J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.07D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.06K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.05C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.04N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.04M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.03D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.03L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.03C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.03K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.03I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02N. Schmidt · Missed · xG 0.02M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.02D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.02B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.01L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.01J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.01M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.00
UTA3 G · 4.4 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsUTA
2.84 G
All situations
3 G4.4
1.32 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
0.92 G
Power play
1 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL20%80%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 4.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsUTA
17
Shots on goal
34
50%
Faceoffs
50%
2/3
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
18
18
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000+100.00222—26:17
53N. DobsonD011000.00100—24:48
14N. SuzukiC213+120.900404323:52
45A. CarrierD000-200.03042—20:01
48L. HutsonD011+120.18020—19:29
17J. AndersonR000020.17000—18:44
71J. EvansC000010.032005318:23
20J. SlafkovskýL000-100.00210—18:02
13C. CaufieldR011+130.62210—17:50
76Z. BolducR123+120.37010—16:10
47J. StrubleD000000.00100—14:46
91O. KapanenC011000.122024513:38
11B. GallagherR011010.17100—13:08
93I. DemidovR101010.17110—12:52
42A. EngstromD000010.02000—10:42
90J. VelenoC000-110.013106410:28
63F. XhekajL000010.01210—08:51
49J. DavidsonC000-100.00104005:23
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(W)34313.9124.42+1.4260:00

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).