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Utah Mammoth at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV Utah16, SNE·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Utah Mammoth 6-2. The Mammoth scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Newhook's goal at 13:13 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.1 to 2.8; shots on goal were UTA 27, MTL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 17 of 23 (.739), 3.2 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (2 G), 2. Oliver Kapanen (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Newhook (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    O. Kapanen1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    A. Newhook1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA1411508227
MTLMTL1527311623

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    snapxG 0.22win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:03
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:45

2nd period

  1. UTA
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:02
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:44
  3. MTL
    snapxG 0.21win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:13

3rd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-4
    13:29
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.16Video
    2-5
    18:00
  3. MTL
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.22Video
    2-6
    19:23

Penalties

UTA 4 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:23UTAJack McBain · Interferencedrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

2nd

  • 0:36MTLZachary Bolduc · Interferencedrawn by Michael Carcone2 min
  • 7:59MTLAlex Newhook · Hookingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min

3rd

  • 8:36UTAIan Cole · High stickingdrawn by Joseph Veleno2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalUTA goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Newhook, 2nd 13:13 — MTL 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Dach · Goal · xG 0.22A. Newhook · Goal · xG 0.21N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.17L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.17O. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.16N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.16I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.16N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.15J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.14J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.13N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.10J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.09A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.08K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.08A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.08A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.07C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.06A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.06O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.06C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.06N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.05K. Dach · Missed · xG 0.05O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.04J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.04A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.04I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.03J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.03A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.02J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.00L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL6 G · 2.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsMTL
3.12 G
All situations
6 G2.8
2.42 G
Even strength
6 G2.5
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA55%45%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsMTL
27
Shots on goal
23
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
25
11
Blocked shots
13
16
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD000-310.15110—23:46
88N. SchmidtD000-110.00410—23:28
6J. MarinoD000010.03100—22:04
92L. CooleyC000-200.000005618:58
77J. PeterkaR000-120.1110010018:56
26D. SimashevD000-200.05010—18:37
8N. SchmaltzC000-230.460006717:17
28I. ColeD011030.10322—16:40
9C. KellerR000-240.53000—16:24
67L. CrouseL101010.29100—16:14
27B. HaytonC000-130.550203615:52
11D. GuentherR000-120.181005015:14
82K. StenlundC011-100.000203614:10
22J. McBainC011010.143125914:08
53M. CarconeL011+110.23300—12:20
2O. MaattaD000-220.01000—11:59
56K. YamamotoR101-120.29110—11:44
13B. TanevL000-200.00300—08:09
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)23176.7392.81-3.1960:00

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).