Skip to content
Flames at Lightning
NHL

Calgary Flames at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV The Spot, SN1·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Calgary Flames 5-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Charle-Edouard D'Astous's goal at 1:26 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 65% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.7 to 2.8; shots on goal were CGY 32, TBL 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Devin Cooley stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (31 saves, .969), 2. Brandon Hagel (1 G, 1 A), 3. Declan Carlile (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Hagel1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    D. Carlile1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY0509118132
TBLTBL4100914523

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(12)
    A. Cirelli (8), N. Kucherov (16)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:39
  2. TBL
    C. D'Astous(2)
    N. Paul (1), J. Guentzel (11)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:26
  3. TBL
    Z. Girgensons(5)
    Y. Gourde (4), P. Holmberg (5)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    5:52
  4. TBL
    D. Carlile(1)
    S. Santini (1), J. Guentzel (12)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-4
    10:01

3rd period

  1. CGY
    J. Farabee(6)SHG
    J. Beecher (1), Y. Kuznetsov (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-4
    1:04
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(11)
    B. Hagel (12), D. Raddysh (8)
    snapxG 0.17Video
    1-5
    14:23

Penalties

CGY 8 PIM·TBL 10 PIM

1st

  • 12:05TBLEmil Lilleberg · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
  • 16:44TBLJ.J. Moser · Hookingdrawn by Joel Farabee2 min
  • 18:56TBLEmil Lilleberg · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 0:30CGYRasmus Andersson · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 1:19TBLNikita Kucherov · High sticking double minordrawn by Joel Farabee4 min
  • 9:02CGYBrayden Pachal · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 14:25CGYBlake Coleman · Slashingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
  • 19:25CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalCGY goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Charle-Edouard D'Astous, 1st 1:26 — TBL 65% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.24N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.19D. James · Missed · xG 0.19N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.17N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.13O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.12A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.12D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.11N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.10B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.10N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.10O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.09D. James · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05D. Carlile · Goal · xG 0.05P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.04P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.04D. Carlile · Missed · xG 0.04N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.03C. D'Astous · Missed · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.03C. D'Astous · Goal · xG 0.03B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.03B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.02B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.01S. Santini · On goal · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · Goal · xG 0.01S. Santini · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL5 G · 2.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsTBL
3.71 G
All situations
5 G2.8
2.90 G
Even strength
5 G1.8
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY65%35%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.64 – 2.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsTBL
32
Shots on goal
23
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/5
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
25
Hits
13
17
Blocked shots
15
16
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD000-110.04330—23:39
4R. AnderssonD000-410.07152—21:37
37Y. KuznetsovD011-100.10220—20:54
91N. KadriC000-150.753001319:51
10J. HuberdeauL000-220.18002—19:15
11M. BacklundC000-210.060005518:19
7K. BahlD000-200.00200—18:17
27M. CoronatoR000-260.651005017:37
16M. FrostC000-230.472004016:42
20B. ColemanL000-100.0731210014:39
47C. ZaryC000-220.240005014:37
17Y. SharangovichC000-110.0101010014:31
94B. PachalD000010.32212—13:52
44J. HanleyD000020.01010—13:41
86J. FarabeeL101060.53020—13:21
43A. KlapkaR000-100.09200—11:43
70R. LombergL000010.14300—10:12
18J. BeecherC011+100.001104009:13
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1D. Cooley19172.8952.61+0.6154:08
32D. Wolf(L)413.2500.14-2.8605:52

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).