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Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV Victory+, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Edmonton Oilers 8-3. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roope Hintz's goal at 10:51 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 63% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were DAL 30, EDM 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.8 goals below expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Wyatt Johnston (1 G, 3 A), 2. Jason Robertson (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jamie Benn (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    W. Johnston1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Robertson1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL4821527830
EDMEDM05110210325

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:48
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(6)PPG
    snapxG 0.29win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:51
  3. DAL
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    15:24
  4. DAL
    wristxG 0.64win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-0
    18:46

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.21win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-1
    4:39
  2. DAL
    deflectedxG 0.53win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-1
    14:01
  3. DAL
    backhandxG 0.42win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-1
    15:36

3rd period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.02win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-2
    1:23
  2. DAL
    7-2
    8:21
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.22Video
    7-3
    9:31
  4. DAL
    wristxG 0.23Video
    8-3
    15:39

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·EDM 10 PIM

1st

  • 10:12EDMTy Emberson · High stickingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 19:23DALNathan Bastian · High stickingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min

2nd

  • 9:18DALLian Bichsel · Roughingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 9:18EDMAdam Henrique · Roughingdrawn by Lian Bichsel2 min
  • 12:26EDMZach Hyman · Holdingdrawn by Justin Hryckowian2 min
  • 13:48EDMAdam Henrique · Hookingdrawn by Mavrik Bourque2 min

3rd

  • 4:38EDMConnor Clattenburg · Hookingdrawn by Mavrik Bourque2 min
  • 19:39DALVladislav Kolyachonok · Cross checkingdrawn by Connor Clattenburg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalDAL goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Roope Hintz, 1st 10:51 — DAL 63% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.24J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.22C. Clattenburg · Goal · xG 0.21A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.18D. Tomasek · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.12A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.12J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.11V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.10M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.08A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.06M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.06A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.02Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.02L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.02T. Emberson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Regula · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.01A. Regula · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.00M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 2.2 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsEDM
4.78 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.75 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
2.03 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL84%16%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.49 – 2.16

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsEDM
30
Shots on goal
25
59%
Faceoffs
41%
3/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
11
14
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011+120.19000—23:08
23E. LindellD000+300.00010—23:04
28A. PetrovicD000+130.07040—22:12
6L. BichselD000000.00312—19:44
53W. JohnstonC134+130.900005017:59
91T. SeguinC022-100.002005017:06
21J. RobertsonL123-140.83000—16:57
24R. HintzC101+110.290208216:25
22M. BourqueC011+130.180007516:10
20K. CapobiancoD000-100.01110—15:37
18S. SteelC112+120.680103315:23
12R. FaksaC022+110.312104314:07
10O. BäckC000000.10010013:56
11N. BastianR202+130.30302—13:17
49J. HryckowianC101-130.3600010013:11
15C. BlackwellC011+220.033104012:55
44V. KolyachonokD011000.00102—12:23
14J. BennL112+130.422105012:22
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(W)25223.8802.20-0.8059:43

Season series

DAL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).