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Golden Knights at Ducks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks

Final/OTTV Victory+, SCRIPPS·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3 in overtime, Cutter Gauthier scoring at 3:57. The Ducks came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cutter Gauthier's goal at 3:57 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — VGK 3.2, ANA 3.3; shots on goal were VGK 32, ANA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Akira Schmid stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.7 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Jackson LaCombe (1 G, 1 A), 2. Cutter Gauthier (1 G, 1 A), 3. Lukas Dostal (29 saves, .906).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. LaCombe1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    C. Gauthier1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    L. Dostal29 saves, .906

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK3110801201332
ANAANA2611301113433

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:25
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:37
  3. ANA
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:43
  4. ANA
    snapxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:17
  5. VGK
    T. Hertl(9)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-2
    17:59

2nd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.14win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-3
    13:50

Overtime

  1. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    3:57

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·ANA 10 PIM

1st

  • 11:24ANAJansen Harkins · High stickingdrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min
  • 17:34ANADrew Helleson · Closing hand on puck2 min

2nd

  • 2:03ANACutter Gauthier · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Dorofeyev2 min
  • 2:24VGKJack Eichel · High stickingdrawn by Jackson LaCombe2 min
  • 10:42ANAOlen Zellweger · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Dorofeyev2 min

3rd

  • 0:28VGKBrayden McNabb · Holdingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min
  • 3:38VGKBrandon Saad · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 3:38ANARyan Strome · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVGK goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Cutter Gauthier, OT 3:57 — ANA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.19C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.15C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.14C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.14T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.14A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.14T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.13B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.13T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.13C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.13R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.12C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.10J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.10L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.09T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.09M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.08C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.08T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.08F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.08C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.07J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.06O. Zellweger · Goal · xG 0.06B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.05O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.05M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.05L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.05J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.04L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.04M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · Goal · xG 0.03C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.03T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.03C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.03R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.02O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.01C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.00J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 3.3 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsANA
3.23 G
All situations
4 G3.3
2.52 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK49%51%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsANA
32
Shots on goal
33
66%
Faceoffs
34%
1/4
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
15
Hits
19
20
Blocked shots
14
23
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD101040.07020—25:29
15N. HanifinD000-110.02150—22:59
9J. EichelC022020.320124021:45
93M. MarnerR000-130.440105021:31
3B. McNabbD000-110.22222—21:23
2Z. WhitecloudD011-110.02100—21:01
16P. DorofeyevR000020.40110—20:43
48T. HertlC101030.281107919:21
42B. BowmanR101+120.20010—16:03
20B. SaadL000-130.240022515:57
21B. HowdenC000-120.383007515:56
49I. BarbashevL011+120.0921010015:51
6K. KorczakD000000.00230—14:04
19R. SmithR000020.25010—12:47
17B. HuttonD000010.01010—12:06
10C. SissonsC000-110.071006711:24
55K. KolesarR000-220.1010010010:16
23C. ReinhardtL000-100.05000—07:23
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Schmid(O)33294.8793.26-0.7463:49

Season series

ANA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).