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Ducks at Golden Knights
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

Final/OTTV Victory+, KCOP-13·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-3 in overtime, Jacob Trouba scoring at 4:28. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Ducks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jacob Trouba's goal at 4:28 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.6 to 2.5; shots on goal were ANA 29, VGK 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Akira Schmid stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jacob Trouba (1 G, 1 A), 2. Leo Carlsson (2 G, 1 A), 3. Kaedan Korczak (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Trouba1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    L. Carlsson2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    K. Korczak1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA182120613429
VGKVGK170822103339

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:47
  2. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:49

2nd period

  1. ANA
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:39
  2. ANA
    snapxG 0.15win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    16:50

3rd period

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:56
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.15win prob +38 ptsVideo
    3-3
    14:53

Overtime

  1. ANA
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    4:28

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

2nd

  • 0:42ANAOlen Zellweger · Interferencedrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 6:54VGKKeegan Kolesar · Holdingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min
  • 20:00ANATroy Terry · High stickingdrawn by Noah Hanifin2 min

3rd

  • 3:45ANALeo Carlsson · High stickingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalANA goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Jacob Trouba, OT 4:28 — ANA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.20B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.19P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.18P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.17T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.16C. Reinhardt · On goal · xG 0.16T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.15P. Dorofeyev · Goal · xG 0.15K. Korczak · Goal · xG 0.15I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.14T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.13B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.12R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.10T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.09P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.08C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.08T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.08B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.07B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.06J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.06M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.05B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.03B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.01C. Reinhardt · Missed · xG 0.01K. Korczak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.00J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.00S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00K. Korczak · Missed · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 3.6 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsVGK
2.54 G
All situations
3 G3.6
2.44 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA31%69%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 3.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsVGK
29
Shots on goal
39
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
18
Hits
17
21
Blocked shots
13
16
Giveaways
19
5
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65J. TroubaD112+330.20340—26:36
2J. LaCombeD000040.15110—26:23
51O. ZellwegerD022+250.14132—23:31
14D. HellesonD000-100.02120—22:20
91L. CarlssonC213+250.850126521:42
19T. TerryR011+210.04002—20:16
61C. GauthierL000020.170202518:43
20C. KreiderL000+110.02000—17:52
17A. KillornL000010.010306717:17
23M. McTavishC000020.290202517:13
45B. SenneckeR000000.27000—16:45
25R. PoehlingC000000.001103515:04
13N. NesterenkoC000020.08200014:18
98P. MintyukovD000-100.00000—13:13
74I. MooreD000010.00020—12:01
77F. VatranoR101010.06200—09:22
24J. HarkinsC000000.005004408:36
44R. JohnstonL000010.18200—08:01
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(W)39363.9233.62+0.6264:28

Season series

ANA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).