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Columbus Blue Jackets at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV FDSNOH, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Morrissey's goal at 1:12 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 2.2, WPG 2.2; shots on goal were CBJ 22, WPG 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.8 goals below expected; Eric Comrie stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (3 A), 2. Adam Lowry (1 G), 3. Josh Morrissey (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele3 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    A. Lowry1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ1110417222
WPGWPG11128211530

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:35
  2. CBJ
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:27

2nd period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:12
  2. WPG
    N. Pionk(1)PPG
    slapxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:30

3rd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-4
    2:45
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.11win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    4:04
  3. WPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-5
    6:23

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 1:37CBJIvan Provorov · High stickingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

2nd

  • 14:50CBJLuca Del Bel Belluz · Holdingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

3rd

  • 6:47WPGMorgan Barron · Interferencedrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCBJ goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Morrissey, 2nd 1:12 — WPG 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.24V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.16J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.10T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.10V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.08G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.08C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.06J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.06G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.06V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.05N. Pionk · Goal · xG 0.05C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.05L. Stanley · Goal · xG 0.04A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.04M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.04K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.04D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.03C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01
WPG5 G · 2.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsWPG
2.22 G
All situations
5 G2.2
1.82 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ50%50%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.18 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsWPG
22
Shots on goal
30
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
13
Hits
16
11
Blocked shots
18
18
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD000-110.04042—25:08
8Z. WerenskiD101-120.18110—24:10
5D. MateychukD000+120.03010—21:07
78D. SeversonD011+130.12000—20:24
4C. SillingerC011010.19020018:01
3C. CoyleC011020.070004117:10
24M. OlivierR000010.21220—17:05
86K. MarchenkoR000-110.08100—16:34
23S. MonahanC000-120.080005316:25
19A. FantilliC000-110.271005616:13
11M. WoodL101-120.37000—15:54
91K. JohnsonC000-120.38100015:11
10D. VoronkovL000-110.0100010015:00
15D. FabbroD000-200.03210—14:29
2J. ChristiansenD000-210.01000—14:01
21I. LundestromC000000.00100011:00
27Z. Aston-ReeseL000000.12400—09:49
65L. Del Bel BelluzC000000.000023009:39
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)30255.8332.21-2.7960:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).