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Predators at Penguins
NHL

Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
0
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
FinalTV NHLN, FDSNSO·Avicii Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Nashville Predators 4-0. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 8:08 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were NSH 21, PIT 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 0.6 goals below expected; Sergei Murashov stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Murashov (21 saves, 1.000), 2. Erik Karlsson (1 A), 3. Sidney Crosby (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Murashov21 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Karlsson1 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH0208011021
PITPIT3110417422

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    P. Wotherspoon(2)
    E. Karlsson (12), J. Koppanen (1)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:19
  2. PIT
    E. Malkin(5)
    K. Hayes (1), A. Mantha (6)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:08
  3. PIT
    S. Crosby(12)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:13

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Lizotte(3)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.62Video
    0-4
    17:12

Penalties

NSH 0 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

2nd

  • 6:03PITRyan Graves · Trippingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 10:57PITRyan Shea · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 12:23PITserved by P. Tomasino · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 12:00PITParker Wotherspoon · Interferencedrawn by Erik Haula2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNSH goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, 1st 8:08 — PIT 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Lizotte · Goal · xG 0.62E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.39T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.21E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.20D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.15K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.13S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.13K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.13P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.11E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.10S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.07J. Koppanen · Missed · xG 0.06T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.06B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.06P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.05J. Koppanen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.05A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.05B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.04T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.04P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.04D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.04C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.03K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.03B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.02P. Wotherspoon · Goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT4 G · 3.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsPIT
1.70 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.10 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH37%63%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsPIT
21
Shots on goal
22
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/4
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
15
11
Blocked shots
14
20
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9F. ForsbergL000-110.06600—20:42
91S. StamkosC000-220.171006719:59
77L. EvangelistaR000020.21200—19:54
76B. SkjeiD000-230.11200—19:34
81J. MarchessaultR000-130.10110—19:30
90R. O'ReillyC000000.000104818:55
41N. HagueD000-210.04200—18:47
58M. BuntingL000-210.00000—18:34
48N. PerbixD000-120.23300—17:49
37N. BlankenburgD000-200.05120—17:23
56E. HaulaL000-100.000205016:37
71M. WoodR000-210.34100—15:16
47M. McCarronC000-110.282108115:02
24S. StastneyD000010.01010—14:51
83A. WilsbyD000020.03020—14:23
89O. WiesblattC000-110.10400012:36
40F. SvechkovC000-200.00210010:34
20J. BarronD000-100.00000—10:12
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)21183.8572.42-0.5859:22

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).