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Penguins at Predators
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
Nashville Predators
▸2
Final/OTTV NHLN, FDSNSO·Avicii Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 2-1 in overtime, Steven Stamkos scoring at 0:44. The Penguins scored first; the Predators answered. The Penguins led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Steven Stamkos's goal at 0:44 of overtime, which took the Predators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were PIT 17, NSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Arturs Silovs stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 16 of 17 (.941), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Steven Stamkos (1 G), 2. Filip Forsberg (1 G), 3. Arturs Silovs (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos1 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    A. Silovs28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT08120700117
NSHNSH080121812230

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(4)
    M. Dumba (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:49

3rd period

  1. NSH
    F. Forsberg(8)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +46 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:50

Overtime

  1. NSH
    S. Stamkos(4)
    B. Skjei (6)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:44

Penalties

PIT 2 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:50NSHLuke Evangelista · Interferencedrawn by Ben Kindel2 min
  • 18:58PITKris Letang · Roughingdrawn by Ozzy Wiesblatt2 min

2nd

  • 5:22NSHJustin Barron · High stickingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalPIT goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Steven Stamkos, OT 0:44 — NSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.37J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.32R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.20F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.17E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.17R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.16F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.15F. Svechkov · On goal · xG 0.14M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.12L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.11E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.11B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.10E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.07J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.07M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.06E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.05L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.05M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.05N. Blankenburg · On goal · xG 0.05N. Blankenburg · Missed · xG 0.04L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03A. Wilsby · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02F. Svechkov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Wilsby · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02O. Wiesblatt · Missed · xG 0.02A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.01J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.01S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.01A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 3.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNSH
1.91 G
All situations
2 G3.5
1.91 G
Even strength
2 G3.2
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT25%75%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 3.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNSH
17
Shots on goal
30
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
10
Hits
17
14
Blocked shots
7
13
Giveaways
21
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-110.12010—22:56
58K. LetangD000-100.00102—22:46
5R. SheaD000-100.00010—21:06
28P. WotherspoonD000000.00210—20:46
87S. CrosbyC000-110.472106120:10
17B. RustR000-140.45000—20:03
81B. KindelC000010.2703010019:36
71E. MalkinC101-130.340003316:45
27R. GravesD000+110.03130—16:06
18T. NovakC000010.09000015:40
39A. ManthaR000+120.09000—14:51
15J. KoppanenL000010.01100—13:52
41V. KoivunenR000000.00020—13:46
24M. DumbaD011+100.00110—13:33
46B. LizotteC000010.040004213:08
19C. DewarC000000.00110012:57
13K. HayesR000010.020006011:34
53P. TomasinoR000000.00100—10:37
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37A. Silovs(O)30282.9333.50+1.5060:44

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).