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Oilers at Hurricanes
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
Carolina Hurricanes
3
Final/OTTV FDSNSO, SNW·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3 in overtime, Leon Draisaitl scoring at 0:19. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leon Draisaitl's goal at 0:19 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.3 to 3.0; shots on goal were EDM 23, CAR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Frederik Andersen stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 G, 1 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jordan Staal (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Staal1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM28061811423
CARCAR1111161900336

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    J. Roslovic(6)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:47
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(8)PPG
    J. Roslovic (8), L. Draisaitl (9)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:30
  3. CAR
    E. Robinson(5)
    S. Gostisbehere (11), T. Hall (6)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:39

2nd period

  1. CAR
    N. Ehlers(4)
    J. Blake (9), L. Stankoven (5)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:41

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(9)
    L. Draisaitl (10), Z. Hyman (1)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-2
    5:46
  2. CAR
    J. Staal(4)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.19win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-3
    6:45

Overtime

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(13)
    C. McDavid (21), E. Bouchard (13)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:19

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·CAR 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:47CARAndrei Svechnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 3:18EDMDarnell Nurse · Cross checkingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 6:58EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by William Carrier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalEDM goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl, OT 0:19 — EDM 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.26J. Staal · Goal · xG 0.19T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.14J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.13S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.13S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.10J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.08W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.08S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.08L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.06M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.06K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.05T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.03A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.02J. Nystrom · Missed · xG 0.02J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.00K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.00A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.0 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCAR
3.34 G
All situations
3 G3.0
2.63 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM56%44%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.29 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCAR
23
Shots on goal
36
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
25
Hits
17
13
Blocked shots
11
20
Giveaways
23
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC213+250.822104324:31
25D. NurseD000000.00342—23:36
96J. WalmanD000020.04020—23:31
18Z. HymanL011+120.341110—23:10
2E. BouchardD011+210.08100—22:41
29L. DraisaitlC123+230.872027320:52
14M. EkholmD000+130.12200—20:26
28J. RoslovicC112030.530005017:10
22M. SavoieC000010.04010016:32
92V. PodkolzinR000000.0000010015:53
27B. KulakD000-210.01010—14:33
75A. RegulaD000-200.00000—13:55
19A. HenriqueC000-110.312204013:12
88A. MangiapaneL000-100.0010010011:35
13M. JanmarkC000-100.01000011:12
48N. PhilpC000-110.041003308:50
20C. LazarC000-100.130005008:10
10T. FredericC000-100.00010007:08
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)36333.9172.97-0.0360:19

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).