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Hurricanes at Oilers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
Edmonton Oilers
3
FinalTV FDSNSO, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-3. The Oilers scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 1:37 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.0 to 2.0; shots on goal were CAR 32, EDM 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 13 of 16 (.813), 1.0 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. K'Andre Miller (3 A), 2. Zach Hyman (2 G), 3. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    K. Miller3 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman2 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    N. Ehlers1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR2811836632
EDMEDM131914316

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    Z. Hyman(26)
    C. McDavid (71), M. Ekholm (27)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:43
  2. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(11)
    S. Jarvis (23), S. Aho (39)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:20
  3. CAR
    N. Ehlers(20)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:06

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Martinook(8)
    N. Ehlers (30), K. Miller (22)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:37
  2. EDM
    V. Podkolzin(14)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:20

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Blake(18)
    K. Miller (23), T. Hall (20)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    7:32
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(27)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (58), E. Bouchard (54)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-3
    11:43
  3. CAR
    J. Staal(16)EN
    K. Miller (24), F. Andersen (1)
    backhandxG 0.80win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-3
    18:39
  4. CAR
    J. Blake(19)
    L. Stankoven (17), S. Walker (14)
    snapxG 0.06Video
    6-3
    19:31

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 7:54EDMZach Hyman · Hookingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 17:46CARTaylor Hall · Hookingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

2nd

  • 19:21EDMConnor McDavid · Interferencedrawn by William Carrier2 min

3rd

  • 8:50EDMMattias Ekholm · Slashingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min
  • 10:40CARK'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalCAR goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 2nd 1:37 — CAR 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.25A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.20C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.15V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.13E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.10C. Dach · Missed · xG 0.09K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.08J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.05V. Podkolzin · Goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dach · Missed · xG 0.02C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.02A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.01M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 2.0 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsEDM
4.05 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.95 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
1.30 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR72%28%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.19 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsEDM
32
Shots on goal
16
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
27
9
Blocked shots
18
19
Giveaways
13
8
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5J. ChatfieldD000+120.02210—25:54
74J. SlavinD000+330.17000—25:25
19K. MillerD033+200.00202—22:33
20S. AhoC011+210.351004121:06
26S. WalkerD011030.12020—20:47
24S. JarvisR011+120.28100—20:08
37A. SvechnikovR000+110.09100—18:43
21A. NikishinD000+130.22400—16:11
71T. HallL011+120.21002—15:41
22L. StankovenC011+120.331002715:27
11J. StaalC101+321.040005015:24
27N. EhlersL112+330.23000—15:15
48J. MartinookL101+230.31010—15:11
53J. BlakeR202+120.15010—14:02
28W. CarrierL000-120.02200—11:01
50E. RobinsonL000000.15020—10:33
77M. JankowskiL000-100.240106710:28
4S. GostisbehereD101+110.10110—04:01
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)16133.8131.96-1.0459:07

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).