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Ducks at Red Wings
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
3
Detroit Red Wings
▸6
FinalTV FDSNDET, KTTV·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-3. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Axel Sandin-Pellikka's goal at 15:33 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.2 to 2.9; shots on goal were ANA 28, DET 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.3 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 15 of 17 (.882). Three stars: 1. Alex DeBrincat (2 G, 1 A), 2. Moritz Seider (1 G, 1 A), 3. Lucas Raymond (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    M. Seider1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    L. Raymond2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA01027111328
DETDET01031637633

Scoring

9 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    M. Seider(2)PPG
    L. Raymond (10), P. Kane (4)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:57
  2. ANA
    C. Gauthier(12)
    B. Sennecke (6), J. Trouba (8)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:35
  3. DET
    M. Rasmussen(2)
    A. Copp (6), J. Berggren (3)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:42
  4. ANA
    C. Kreider(10)
    J. LaCombe (7), D. Helleson (7)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:54
  5. DET
    A. Sandin-Pellikka(2)
    M. Rasmussen (3), J. Berggren (4)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:33

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. DeBrincat(5)PPG
    M. Seider (6), P. Kane (5)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-4
    0:50
  2. ANA
    M. Granlund(3)
    I. Moore (1), R. Strome (1)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-4
    4:33
  3. DET
    D. Larkin(10)
    L. Raymond (11), A. DeBrincat (12)
    backhandxG 0.22win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-5
    5:06
  4. DET
    A. DeBrincat(6)EN
    D. Larkin (11)
    wristxG 0.54Video
    3-6
    17:59

Penalties

ANA 24 PIM·DET 22 PIM

1st

  • 7:13ANAMason McTavish · Roughingdrawn by Marco Kasper2 min
  • 7:13DETMarco Kasper · Roughingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 10:40ANADrew Helleson · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 17:03DETJonatan Berggren · Roughingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min
  • 18:25ANABeckett Sennecke · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Simon Edvinsson2 min
  • 18:25DETSimon Edvinsson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min
  • 18:29ANAMason McTavish · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

2nd

  • 1:16DETAlex DeBrincat · Trippingdrawn by Olen Zellweger2 min
  • 5:23ANAMason McTavish · Holdingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 18:13ANAAlex Killorn · Holding the stickdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min
  • 18:13DETAlbert Johansson · Holdingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min

3rd

  • 0:45ANAChris Kreider · Roughingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 8:21DETSimon Edvinsson · Holdingdrawn by Jackson LaCombe2 min
  • 19:44ANARoss Johnston · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:44DETSimon Edvinsson · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalANA goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Axel Sandin-Pellikka, 2nd 15:33 — DET 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.54D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.22P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.19D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.16S. Edvinsson · On goal · xG 0.16A. DeBrincat · Goal · xG 0.15D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.14L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.13L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.11A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.10M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.09M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.09J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.07J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.07A. Sandin-Pellikka · Missed · xG 0.06D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.05M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.05M. Seider · Goal · xG 0.05A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.04J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rasmussen · Goal · xG 0.04M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.02L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.02J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bernard-Docker · Missed · xG 0.01A. Sandin-Pellikka · Goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01S. Edvinsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.01N. Danielson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00
DET6 G · 3.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsDET
2.93 G
All situations
5 G3.2
2.33 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.30 G
Power play
2 G0.4
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA54%46%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsDET
28
Shots on goal
33
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/3
Power play
2/4
24
Penalty minutes
22
21
Hits
16
14
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
20
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD011-100.01120—23:56
91L. CarlssonC000-130.350004423:21
65J. TroubaD011-100.00320—22:50
19T. TerryR000040.38000—20:19
51O. ZellwegerD000-100.00010—19:39
74I. MooreD011010.18030—17:27
14D. HellesonD011+110.04112—16:30
20C. KreiderL101020.21112—16:21
17A. KillornL000040.401026716:13
61C. GauthierL101-230.33010—16:09
45B. SenneckeR011-240.55302—16:07
64M. GranlundC101+120.100006215:45
98P. MintyukovD000010.02020—13:50
16R. StromeC011+110.140005013:47
23M. McTavishC000-100.251067110:14
13N. NesterenkoC000000.003003310:11
44R. JohnstonL000000.005110—09:48
77F. VatranoR000020.01200—09:33
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)32275.8442.68-2.3259:21

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).