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Red Wings at Ducks
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
FinalTV FDSNDET, Victory+·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason McTavish's goal at 6:35 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals were close — DET 3.2, ANA 3.4; shots on goal were DET 30, ANA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. John Gibson stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.1 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Troy Terry (2 G, 1 A), 2. Leo Carlsson (1 G, 3 A), 3. Jacob Trouba (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    T. Terry2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    L. Carlsson1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Trouba1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET1611509230
ANAANA21219211532

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    T. Terry(4)SHG
    D. Helleson (4), L. Carlsson (8)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:53
  2. DET
    L. Raymond(3)
    D. Larkin (9), A. DeBrincat (10)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:19
  3. ANA
    L. Carlsson(5)
    T. Terry (8), J. Trouba (4)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:24

2nd period

  1. ANA
    M. McTavish(2)
    O. Zellweger (2), C. Gauthier (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:35
  2. DET
    A. DeBrincat(4)PPG
    L. Raymond (8), M. Seider (5)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:25

3rd period

  1. ANA
    C. Kreider(5)PPG
    C. Gauthier (4), L. Carlsson (9)
    backhandxG 0.30win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-4
    0:55
  2. ANA
    T. Terry(5)EN
    L. Carlsson (10)
    wristxG 0.51Video
    2-5
    17:28

Penalties

DET 10 PIM·ANA 16 PIM

1st

  • 3:10ANASam Colangelo · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:31DETMichael Rasmussen · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov2 min

2nd

  • 0:11ANAChris Kreider · Hookingdrawn by Lucas Raymond2 min
  • 10:13DETMoritz Seider · Holdingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min
  • 10:50ANAChris Kreider · Slashingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 11:31DETAndrew Copp · Hookingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min
  • 15:17ANAOlen Zellweger · Trippingdrawn by Elmer Soderblom2 min
  • 15:55ANABeckett Sennecke · Chargingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

3rd

  • 0:29DETSimon Edvinsson · Trippingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
  • 4:58ANACutter Gauthier · Hookingdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min
  • 6:23DETJames van Riemsdyk · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov2 min
  • 7:52ANAChris Kreider · Holdingdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min
  • 14:33ANAserved by Beckett Sennecke · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalDET goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Mason McTavish, 2nd 6:35 — ANA 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.51C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.30B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.22C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.16T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.16B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.14J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.12L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.11L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.11T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.10C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.09C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.09M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.09A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.08C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.08T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.07D. Helleson · Missed · xG 0.06M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.06I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.06M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.05J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.05C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.04R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.03R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.03L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.02A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.02N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.02O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01S. Colangelo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.00C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.00F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.00T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA5 G · 3.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsANA
3.22 G
All situations
4 G3.4
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
1.91 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET55%45%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.15 – 2.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsANA
30
Shots on goal
32
64%
Faceoffs
36%
1/7
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
16
16
Hits
21
10
Blocked shots
12
22
Giveaways
22
3
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD011-120.14322—25:00
77S. EdvinssonD000-110.05012—20:04
71D. LarkinC011030.720006419:35
58E. FinnieC000-110.2500010019:14
8B. ChiarotD000-110.13500—18:17
93A. DeBrincatR112070.73000—17:32
23L. RaymondL112030.38100—17:07
44A. Sandin-PellikkaD000-100.01000—15:50
20A. JohanssonD000020.06130—15:45
37J. CompherL000-100.010004015:10
92M. KasperC000-230.102105714:41
52T. HamonicD000000.00220—14:40
18A. CoppC000-200.140026714:34
22M. AppletonC000-110.14000013:53
21J. van RiemsdykL000-210.14002—13:31
27M. RasmussenC000010.020028212:55
85E. SoderblomL000020.18200—12:13
48J. BerggrenR000-320.04010—11:48
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)31274.8712.91-1.0959:45

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).