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Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV NESN, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Boston Bruins 5-3. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Stützle's goal at 14:17 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were BOS 21, OTT 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.7 goals below expected; Leevi Meriläinen stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (2 G, 1 A), 2. Claude Giroux (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dylan Cozens (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    T. Stützle2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    C. Giroux1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    D. Cozens1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS0411027321
OTTOTT2100438522

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    C. Giroux(4)PPG
    snapxG 0.18win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:28
  2. OTT
    snapxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:03

2nd period

  1. BOS
    slapxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:49

3rd period

  1. OTT
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:06
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.42win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:49
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.13win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-3
    5:15
  4. OTT
    wristxG 0.06win prob +37 ptsVideo
    3-4
    14:17
  5. OTT
    wristxG 0.91win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-5
    19:42

Penalties

BOS 9 PIM·OTT 9 PIM

1st

  • 0:40BOSJeffrey Viel · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 10:56BOSMason Lohrei · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

2nd

  • 3:46OTTArtem Zub · Interferencedrawn by Marat Khusnutdinov2 min
  • 14:40OTTKurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot5 min
  • 14:40BOSTanner Jeannot · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min

3rd

  • 2:11OTTArtem Zub · Interferencedrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalBOS goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Tim Stützle, 3rd 14:17 — OTT 52% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.91T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.70C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.18T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.12S. Pinto · Goal · xG 0.10D. Cozens · Goal · xG 0.09F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.08F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.08R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.07T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.06M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.06D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.04D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.02R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.02N. Matinpalo · Missed · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.00T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.00M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 2.9 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsOTT
2.03 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.02 G
Even strength
3 G0.9
1.01 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 63 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS65%35%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 1.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsOTT
21
Shots on goal
22
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/2
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
30
Hits
26
18
Blocked shots
19
23
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000020.08110—25:05
91N. ZadorovD000-120.02210—22:27
27H. LindholmD000-100.00010—20:22
88D. PastrnakR112030.53310—20:05
39M. GeekieC112030.421001419:10
18P. ZachaC000-220.142203818:58
26A. PeekeD000+100.00200—18:57
71V. ArvidssonL011-210.1102010017:39
93F. MintenC000+100.000005016:36
92M. KhusnutdinovC011010.023203315:45
47M. KastelicC101+110.135006715:31
6M. LohreiD000-100.00232—14:28
21A. SteevesC000-110.08420013:43
20H. JokiharjuD000-110.01010—13:41
84T. JeannotL011+110.05215—13:08
81M. EyssimontC000-210.06010011:57
52S. KuralyC000-210.250003011:11
48J. VielL000-210.11302—10:19
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)21174.8101.27-2.7358:10

Season series

OTT leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).