Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the Boston Bruins 5-3. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Stützle's goal at 14:17 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 52% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were BOS 21, OTT 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 2.7 goals below expected; Leevi Meriläinen stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (2 G, 1 A), 2. Claude Giroux (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dylan Cozens (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★T. Stützle2 G, 1 A

- ★★C. Giroux1 G, 1 A

- ★★★D. Cozens1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
8 goals1st period
0-11:28
0-219:03
2nd period
1-211:49
3rd period
1-31:06
2-33:49
3-35:15
3-414:17
3-519:42
Penalties
1st
- 0:40
Jeffrey Viel · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
- 10:56
Mason Lohrei · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
2nd
- 3:46
Artem Zub · Interferencedrawn by Marat Khusnutdinov2 min
- 14:40
Kurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot5 min
- 14:40
Tanner Jeannot · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min
3rd
- 2:11
Artem Zub · Interferencedrawn by Morgan Geekie2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tim Stützle, 3rd 14:17 — 52% → 89%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.03 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.9
- 1.02 G
- Even strength
- 3 G0.9
- 1.01 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 63 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 1.27
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 40%
- Faceoffs
- 60%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/2
- 9
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 30
- Hits
- 26
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 23
- Giveaways
- 16
- 6
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
OTT leads 3-1
2@
7Final
2@
3OTFinal
3@
5this game
6@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















