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Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV NESN, Prime·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Boston Bruins 7-2. The Bruins scored first; the Senators answered. The Senators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drake Batherson's goal at 14:44 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.7 to 1.5; shots on goal were BOS 28, OTT 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 16 of 23 (.696), 4.3 goals below expected; Leevi Meriläinen stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Drake Batherson (2 G, 1 A), 2. Tim Stützle (2 G, 1 A), 3. Leevi Meriläinen (26 saves, .929).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    D. Batherson2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Stützle2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    L. Meriläinen26 saves, .929

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS1901118228
OTTOTT1102449723

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:06
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.24win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:25

2nd period

  1. OTT
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:08
  2. OTT
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:44

3rd period

  1. OTT
    snapxG 0.08win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-4
    0:13
  2. OTT
    tip-inxG 0.09Video
    1-5
    9:33
  3. OTT
    snapxG 0.21Video
    1-6
    12:22
  4. OTT
    slapxG 0.03Video
    1-7
    13:04
  5. BOS
    slapxG 0.06Video
    2-7
    19:50

Penalties

BOS 10 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

1st

  • 8:40BOSMichael Eyssimont · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Kleven2 min
  • 13:16BOSMark Kastelic · Trippingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min

3rd

  • 0:08BOSNikita Zadorov · Interferencedrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 4:14OTTDylan Cozens · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 9:18BOSCharlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 12:43BOSCharlie McAvoy · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Leevi Meriläinen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalBOS goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Drake Batherson, 2nd 14:44 — OTT 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.25D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.24N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.21C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.20D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.16S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.16C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.16D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.15D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.12N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.11S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.10T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.09D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.08T. Stützle · Goal · xG 0.08R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.07S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.06T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.05M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.04S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.04S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.04F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.01D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.01T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.01R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.00S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT7 G · 2.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsOTT
1.52 G
All situations
7 G2.7
1.32 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.10 G
Power play
4 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS26%74%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.46 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsOTT
28
Shots on goal
23
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/1
Power play
4/5
10
Penalty minutes
2
33
Hits
19
9
Blocked shots
19
13
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
91N. ZadorovD000-110.01302—23:00
26A. PeekeD000010.05310—21:28
20H. JokiharjuD000000.01100—19:46
88D. PastrnakR000-210.09200—19:35
6M. LohreiD000010.04000—18:57
79M. CallahanD000-100.00200—18:26
28E. LindholmC000-110.243102518:23
73C. McAvoyD000000.02214—17:23
39M. GeekieC101-130.08200016:58
18P. ZachaC000-140.131007116:38
71V. ArvidssonL101+130.25000—14:58
84T. JeannotL011+110.06510—14:58
11C. MittelstadtC000-100.00010014:53
93F. MintenC011+120.234005013:50
52S. KuralyC000040.060202013:16
81M. EyssimontC000050.14102012:00
92M. KhusnutdinovC000-110.01100011:08
47M. KastelicC000+100.053225010:00
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)23167.6962.75-4.2559:57

Season series

OTT leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).