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Flames at Blues
NHL

Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
2
St. Louis Blues
▸3
FinalTV FDSNMW, SNW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Calgary Flames 3-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Andersson's goal at 14:29 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 12% to 27%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were CGY 40, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Jordan Binnington stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Binnington (38 saves, .950), 2. Nathan Walker (1 G), 3. Oskar Sundqvist (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Binnington38 saves, .950
  2. ★★
    STL
    N. Walker1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    O. Sundqvist2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY010214016240
STLSTL21411007331

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    D. Holloway(4)PPG
    J. Faulk (6), P. Suter (5)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:59
  2. STL
    M. Kessel(1)
    O. Sundqvist (6)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    13:43

2nd period

  1. STL
    N. Walker(2)
    A. Toropchenko (1), O. Sundqvist (7)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    7:20
  2. CGY
    M. Coronato(4)
    B. Pachal (2)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:04
  3. CGY
    R. Andersson(3)
    M. Backlund (5)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:29

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:13CGYSamuel Honzek · Trippingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min

2nd

  • 0:51CGYRasmus Andersson · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 9:45STLTyler Tucker · Interferencedrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 9:45CGYAdam Klapka · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Tucker2 min
  • 19:11STLNathan Walker · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCGY goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Rasmus Andersson, 2nd 14:29 — CGY 12% → 27%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.26N. Walker · Goal · xG 0.23A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.18P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.18R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.16J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.15J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.14D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.14P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.14D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.11R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.10R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.07M. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.07R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.07J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.06R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.05D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.05D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.05A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.04M. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.03D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.02J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.02N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.02D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.01N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.00R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.00M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.00D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSTL
2.62 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY43%57%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSTL
40
Shots on goal
31
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
25
5
Blocked shots
18
22
Giveaways
10
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD101070.27002—25:12
52M. WeegarD000-130.03010—22:55
91N. KadriC000-260.540005421:20
10J. HuberdeauL000+140.1810010020:13
37Y. KuznetsovD000-110.04210—20:10
7K. BahlD000+100.01120—20:06
27M. CoronatoR101+160.610003318:48
16M. FrostC000+120.191006217:47
11M. BacklundC011+130.062105015:56
86J. FarabeeL000-220.20000—15:32
94B. PachalD011+100.11100—15:03
44J. HanleyD000010.02000—14:31
20B. ColemanL000+120.08200—14:01
43A. KlapkaR000010.02202—12:58
47C. ZaryC000000.001003312:44
29S. HonzekL000+100.000025011:23
70R. LombergL000010.04200—08:58
17Y. SharangovichC000-210.210005008:21
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)31283.9033.000.0058:16

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).