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Blues at Flames
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸4
Calgary Flames
2
FinalTV FDSNMW, SN·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Calgary Flames 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake Neighbours's goal at 11:07 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.4 to 2.5; shots on goal were STL 28, CGY 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Neighbours (2 G), 2. Joel Hofer (27 saves, .931), 3. Matt Coronato (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Neighbours2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Hofer27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Coronato2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL04212212428
CGYCGY1911406229

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Coronato(1)PPG
    J. Farabee (2), N. Kadri (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    14:49

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Neighbours(1)
    R. Thomas (1), P. Buchnevich (1)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:41
  2. STL
    R. Thomas(1)PPG
    J. Snuggerud (1), J. Faulk (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:25
  3. CGY
    M. Coronato(2)
    K. Bahl (1)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:57

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Neighbours(2)
    C. Parayko (1), C. Fowler (1)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +34 ptsVideo
    3-2
    11:07
  2. STL
    P. Suter(1)
    T. Tucker (1), N. Walker (1)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-2
    13:33

Penalties

STL 17 PIM·CGY 13 PIM

1st

  • 2:29STLNick Bjugstad · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 4:54CGYBlake Coleman · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 10:28CGYConnor Zary · Trippingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min
  • 13:59STLPhilip Broberg · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
  • 17:13STLPavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min

2nd

  • 3:24STLTyler Tucker · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg5 min
  • 3:24CGYRyan Lomberg · Fightingdrawn by Tyler Tucker5 min
  • 3:50STLRobert Thomas · Slashingdrawn by Samuel Honzek2 min
  • 5:38STLColton Parayko · Holdingdrawn by Yegor Sharangovich2 min
  • 13:34CGYMikael Backlund · Holdingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

3rd

  • 1:35STLPius Suter · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 4:50CGYNazem Kadri · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSTL goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Jake Neighbours, 3rd 11:07 — STL 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Honzek · On goal · xG 0.35Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.26J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.19J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.17R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.16M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.15S. Honzek · On goal · xG 0.13Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.13R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.12A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Parekh · Missed · xG 0.10R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.09M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.08M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.08R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Parekh · Missed · xG 0.07M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.07A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.07M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.06M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.05M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.05M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.04M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.03S. Honzek · On goal · xG 0.03C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.01J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.00M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.00S. Honzek · On goal · xG 0.00J. Hanley · Missed · xG 0.00C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY2 G · 3.4 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCGY
2.54 G
All situations
2 G3.4
1.73 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.81 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL36%64%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
29
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/4
Power play
1/6
17
Penalty minutes
13
29
Hits
22
17
Blocked shots
21
13
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD011+110.10330—25:02
17C. FowlerD011+220.06110—24:58
55C. ParaykoD011+110.02152—23:58
6P. BrobergD000+110.03002—23:03
18R. ThomasC112+210.120225521:00
81D. HollowayL000-140.3140010020:45
89P. BuchnevichL011+220.361025020:00
22P. SuterC101+150.423225418:44
10B. SchennC000-100.003007217:52
25J. KyrouR000-120.27010—16:57
63J. NeighboursL202+230.27600—14:44
26N. WalkerL011+120.0702010012:52
21J. SnuggerudR011020.14000—10:30
71M. JosephR000+110.35310—09:59
75T. TuckerD011000.00105—08:19
23L. MaillouxD000-110.01100—08:18
9A. TexierL000000.00100—06:42
77N. BjugstadC000000.001022505:29
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(W)29272.9313.39+1.3959:58

Season series

STL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).