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Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks

Final/OTTV SNP, SN1·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3 in overtime, Kiefer Sherwood scoring at 1:43. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kiefer Sherwood's goal at 1:43 of overtime, which took the Canucks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.7, VAN 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 29, VAN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.4 goals below expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Kiefer Sherwood (2 G), 2. Leon Draisaitl (2 G), 3. Brock Boeser (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    K. Sherwood2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    B. Boeser1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM013172900329
VANVAN182100811427

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:42

2nd period

  1. VAN
    slapxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:22
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:32
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:19

3rd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:21
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.19win prob +30 ptsVideo
    3-3
    14:57

Overtime

  1. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.38win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:43

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:05VANConor Garland · Roughingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

2nd

  • 0:56EDMVasily Podkolzin · Slashingdrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 6:19EDMEvan Bouchard · Slashingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min

3rd

  • 14:30VANMarcus Pettersson · Slashingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalEDM goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Kiefer Sherwood, OT 1:43 — VAN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.38L. Reichel · Missed · xG 0.21K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.20K. Sherwood · Goal · xG 0.19J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.17L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.14P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.13B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.13E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.11E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.10L. Reichel · Missed · xG 0.10E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.07M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.05E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.04L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.04V. Mancini · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Räty · Missed · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.02P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01A. Räty · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsVAN
2.73 G
All situations
4 G2.6
2.32 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM51%49%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsVAN
29
Shots on goal
27
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
14
13
Blocked shots
18
13
Giveaways
17
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD011+100.02012—24:59
25D. NurseD000040.13120—23:32
97C. McDavidC011-130.560002523:03
29L. DraisaitlC202+130.521005320:55
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011-220.231005020:51
14M. EkholmD000010.01030—19:37
96J. WalmanD000000.00000—19:02
88A. MangiapaneL000-120.31100—18:53
27B. KulakD000-130.07000—17:07
28J. RoslovicC112+240.150102015:43
49T. EmbersonD000-100.00230—15:37
19A. HenriqueC000020.070004015:13
92V. PodkolzinR011+230.222025015:11
10T. FredericC000000.08800014:04
20C. LazarC000000.072205013:07
86D. TomasekR000-110.031006708:19
53I. HowardL000-110.21000—08:18
22M. SavoieC000-100.01010008:12
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Pickard(O)27234.8522.60-1.4061:43

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).