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Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV CBC, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Philp's goal at 12:21 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were VAN 15, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 90% of the time. Thatcher Demko stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 3.3 goals saved above expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 14 of 15 (.933), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Noah Philp (1 G), 2. Thatcher Demko (34 saves, .944), 3. Andrew Mangiapane (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    N. Philp1 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    T. Demko34 saves, .944
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    A. Mangiapane1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN040516115
EDMEDM01421419337

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.12win prob +19 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:21
  2. EDM
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.26win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:09

3rd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:47
  2. EDM
    backhandxG 0.40win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:47

Penalties

VAN 12 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:24VANDerek Forbort · Holdingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 17:07VANEvander Kane · High stickingdrawn by David Tomasek2 min
  • 18:40EDMTrent Frederic · Trippingdrawn by Aatu Räty2 min

2nd

  • 9:55VANKiefer Sherwood · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 17:33EDMDarnell Nurse · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 17:33VANEvander Kane · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min

3rd

  • 9:07VANTyler Myers · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:00VANFilip Chytil · Trippingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
  • 16:55EDMNoah Philp · Cross checkingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalVAN goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Noah Philp, 2nd 12:21 — EDM 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.42L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.40C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.29A. Mangiapane · Goal · xG 0.26D. Tomasek · On goal · xG 0.26R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.25M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.24L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.21M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.18T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.15D. Tomasek · On goal · xG 0.15T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.14D. Tomasek · On goal · xG 0.14A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.14E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.13M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.13C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.12D. Tomasek · Missed · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.12N. Philp · Goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.10A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10D. Tomasek · On goal · xG 0.09N. Philp · Missed · xG 0.09V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08I. Howard · On goal · xG 0.07N. Philp · On goal · xG 0.07T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01A. Regula · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 5.7 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsEDM
2.11 G
All situations
2 G5.7
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
0.50 G
Power play
0 G2.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN10%90%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 5.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsEDM
15
Shots on goal
37
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
6
26
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
13
21
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD000000.00220—27:19
43Q. HughesD011-100.03000—25:58
29M. PetterssonD000-100.01010—20:27
57T. MyersD000-210.02342—20:11
91E. KaneL000-110.175143318:49
6B. BoeserR101-120.87000—18:38
8C. GarlandR000-130.400005017:49
72F. ChytilC000-210.061024517:17
74J. DeBruskL011020.26100—16:42
40E. PetterssonC000010.011301716:38
18D. O'ConnorL000000.020006013:46
27D. ForbortD000010.11122—12:35
44K. SherwoodL000-110.0150210012:13
25E. PetterssonD000010.01100—11:25
54A. RätyC000000.004008211:01
13A. BainsL000000.00100—10:00
80B. CootesC000000.001005009:53
23J. LekkerimäkiR000010.11010—09:38
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Demko(L)36342.9445.28+3.2857:41

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).