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Colorado Avalanche at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NHLN, ALT·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2. The Avalanche scored first; the Bruins answered. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Geekie's goal at 19:55 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 75% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were COL 33, BOS 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 0.9 goals below expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jeremy Swayman (31 saves, .939), 2. Morgan Geekie (1 G), 3. Mason Lohrei (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. Swayman31 saves, .939
  2. ★★
    BOS
    M. Geekie1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    M. Lohrei3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL111012110233
BOSBOS281704319

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:26
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.23win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:16
  3. BOS
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:55

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.13win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:55

3rd period

  1. COL
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-3
    19:40

Penalties

COL 14 PIM·BOS 10 PIM

1st

  • 18:15COLGabriel Landeskog · Holding the stickdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min

2nd

  • 2:35COLIlya Solovyov · Holdingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min
  • 8:38BOSPavel Zacha · Slashingdrawn by Zakhar Bardakov2 min
  • 13:27BOSSean Kuraly · Holdingdrawn by Ilya Solovyov2 min

3rd

  • 2:33COLBrent Burns · Slashingdrawn by Jeremy Swayman2 min
  • 2:53BOSCharlie McAvoy · Roughingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 12:49COLBrock Nelson · Trippingdrawn by Henri Jokiharju2 min
  • 20:00COLMartin Necas · Cross checkingdrawn by Viktor Arvidsson2 min
  • 20:00COLNathan MacKinnon · Roughingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 20:00BOSCharlie McAvoy · Roughingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 20:00COLNathan MacKinnon · Roughingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 20:00BOSCharlie McAvoy · Roughingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalCOL goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Morgan Geekie, 2nd 19:55 — BOS 75% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.48P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.34V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.23M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.15F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.13M. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.13M. Eyssimont · Goal · xG 0.12M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.11P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.09M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.09V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.09C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.08P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.08C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.05M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.05M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.04M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.03S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.02A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.02T. Jeannot · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.01H. Jokiharju · Missed · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.00V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 2.6 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsBOS
3.52 G
All situations
3 G2.6
2.52 G
Even strength
3 G1.3
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL73%27%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.45 – 2.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsBOS
33
Shots on goal
19
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
0/4
14
Penalty minutes
10
15
Hits
24
7
Blocked shots
34
8
Giveaways
17
8
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011+220.17010—27:13
7D. ToewsD000+100.00110—24:19
13V. NichushkinR011060.35200—23:32
29N. MacKinnonC022+230.230044321:38
88M. NecasC000+110.27002020:59
62A. LehkonenL202+250.87100—20:54
42J. MansonD000-220.05120—19:47
84B. BurnsD000-220.20112—19:36
11B. NelsonC000030.351024619:24
18J. DruryC000-220.040104715:01
95V. OlofssonL000-110.06000—13:54
92G. LandeskogL000-120.28102—13:17
20R. ColtonC000-210.27300012:33
70S. MalinskiD000-100.18000—12:10
28I. SolovyovD000-110.02102—10:53
17P. KellyC000010.08200008:01
54G. BrindleyC000010.05000006:46
93Z. BardakovC000000.001104004:33
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(L)19163.8422.09-0.9157:30

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).