Skip to content

Boston Bruins at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ALT, NESN·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Boston Bruins 4-1. The Bruins scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 4:14 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 78% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 1.1; shots on goal were BOS 14, COL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Scott Wedgewood stopped 13 of 14 (.929). Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G), 2. Artturi Lehkonen (3 A), 3. Josh Manson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    J. Manson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS170205114
COLCOL27016215438

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:11
  2. COL
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:08
  3. COL
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:22

3rd period

  1. COL
    slapxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:14
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.43Video
    1-4
    17:23

Penalties

BOS 10 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:52COLNathan MacKinnon · Trippingdrawn by Fraser Minten2 min
  • 17:58BOSFraser Minten · Holdingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

2nd

  • 6:40BOSHampus Lindholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 11:35BOSCharlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Gavin Brindley2 min
  • 17:53BOSFraser Minten · High stickingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min

3rd

  • 7:05COLJosh Manson · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
  • 12:30BOSNikita Zadorov · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Scott Wedgewood2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalBOS goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 3rd 4:14 — COL 78% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.43M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.40N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.24M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.22M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.19J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.16M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.15M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.14N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.09J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.09C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.07G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.07G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.05C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.04J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · Goal · xG 0.03J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.03J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.01I. Solovyov · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bardakov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 3.9 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsCOL
1.11 G
All situations
3 G3.9
0.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS12%88%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.07 – 3.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsCOL
14
Shots on goal
38
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
12
29
Blocked shots
17
18
Giveaways
12
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
91N. ZadorovD000-100.00532—21:40
73C. McAvoyD011-110.06222—20:45
27H. LindholmD000-200.11032—20:44
20H. JokiharjuD000-100.00210—19:52
26A. PeekeD000-100.01450—19:43
18P. ZachaC000-210.090207116:25
6M. LohreiD011010.05000—15:56
47M. KastelicC000+100.003108915:44
52S. KuralyC000+100.000202315:32
28E. LindholmC000-200.000107714:27
39M. GeekieC000-100.002005014:25
71V. ArvidssonL000-140.10010—14:18
84T. JeannotL000020.04000—14:14
88D. PastrnakR000-200.00200—13:53
19J. BeecherC101030.41120013:28
93F. MintenC000010.093345013:21
11C. MittelstadtC000-200.000104213:13
81M. EyssimontC000-210.12020012:36
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)37343.9193.46+0.4659:44

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).