Boston Bruins at Colorado Avalanche
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the Boston Bruins 4-1. The Bruins scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nathan MacKinnon's goal at 4:14 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 78% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.9 to 1.1; shots on goal were BOS 14, COL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Scott Wedgewood stopped 13 of 14 (.929). Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G), 2. Artturi Lehkonen (3 A), 3. Josh Manson (1 G).
Three stars
- ★N. MacKinnon2 G

- ★★A. Lehkonen3 A

- ★★★J. Manson1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-03:11
1-17:08
1-210:22
3rd period
1-34:14
1-417:23
Penalties
1st
- 13:52
Nathan MacKinnon · Trippingdrawn by Fraser Minten2 min
- 17:58
Fraser Minten · Holdingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
2nd
- 6:40
Hampus Lindholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
- 11:35
Charlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Gavin Brindley2 min
- 17:53
Fraser Minten · High stickingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min
3rd
- 7:05
Josh Manson · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
- 12:30
Nikita Zadorov · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Scott Wedgewood2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nathan MacKinnon, 3rd 4:14 — 78% → 93%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.11 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.9
- 0.71 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.5
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.8
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.07 – 3.43
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 14
- Shots on goal
- 38
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/5
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 24
- Hits
- 12
- 29
- Blocked shots
- 17
- 18
- Giveaways
- 12
- 1
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
1@
4this game
2@
3Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















