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Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV NBCSP, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-1. The Flyers scored first; the Senators answered. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Olle Lycksell's goal at 3:05 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.1, OTT 1.9; shots on goal were PHI 23, OTT 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Linus Ullmark stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Amadio (1 G), 2. Linus Ullmark (22 saves, .957), 3. Thomas Chabot.

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    M. Amadio1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    L. Ullmark22 saves, .957
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI190707123
OTTOTT11419010233

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:29
  2. OTT
    C. Giroux (4), A. Zub (3)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:57

2nd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:05

Penalties

PHI 12 PIM·OTT 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:17PHIBobby Brink · Hookingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 11:18OTTNick Cousins · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Dan Vladar2 min
  • 15:04PHIMatvei Michkov · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min

2nd

  • 3:39PHISean Couturier · Hookingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
  • 17:39PHINick Seeler · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 17:39OTTDavid Perron · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 18:37OTTNick Jensen · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min

3rd

  • 2:09PHINick Seeler · Interferencedrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 4:43OTTArtem Zub · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 6:30PHITrevor Zegras · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalPHI goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Olle Lycksell, 2nd 3:05 — OTT 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Lycksell · Goal · xG 0.17O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.17S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.13D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.13T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.10A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.10S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.09D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.09S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.08M. Amadio · Goal · xG 0.07F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.06J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04O. Lycksell · On goal · xG 0.04D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.02S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.01M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.00J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 1.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsOTT
2.11 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI54%46%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsOTT
23
Shots on goal
33
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
17
16
Blocked shots
16
12
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. YorkD000-110.08010—25:46
6T. SanheimD000-130.09050—24:11
9J. DrysdaleD000000.05010—23:53
11T. KonecnyR011-130.22010—21:23
14S. CouturierC011010.032126521:13
24N. SeelerD000000.00204—17:49
74O. TippettR000-220.25410—17:43
71T. FoersterR101+110.03300—17:07
27N. CatesL000010.202105016:25
22C. DvorakC000010.380004416:05
39M. MichkovR000040.36002—14:50
46T. ZegrasC000020.232026714:21
10B. BrinkR000020.17102—14:08
47N. JuulsenD000010.01100—11:51
5E. ZamulaD000000.00010—11:19
19G. HathawayR000000.00120—08:26
29N. GrebenkinR000000.0010010007:12
18R. AbolsC000-110.03220006:06
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(L)33312.9391.90-0.1058:12

Season series

OTT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).