Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the Philadelphia Flyers 2-1. The Flyers scored first; the Senators answered. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Olle Lycksell's goal at 3:05 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.1, OTT 1.9; shots on goal were PHI 23, OTT 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Linus Ullmark stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Michael Amadio (1 G), 2. Linus Ullmark (22 saves, .957), 3. Thomas Chabot.
Three stars
- ★M. Amadio1 G

- ★★L. Ullmark22 saves, .957

- ★★★T. Chabot

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals1st period
1-00:29
1-17:57
2nd period
1-23:05
Penalties
1st
- 8:17
Bobby Brink · Hookingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
- 11:18
Nick Cousins · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Dan Vladar2 min
- 15:04
Matvei Michkov · Trippingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
2nd
- 3:39
Sean Couturier · Hookingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
- 17:39
Nick Seeler · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by David Perron2 min
- 17:39
David Perron · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
- 18:37
Nick Jensen · Trippingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
3rd
- 2:09
Nick Seeler · Interferencedrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
- 4:43
Artem Zub · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
- 6:30
Trevor Zegras · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Olle Lycksell, 2nd 3:05 — 53% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.11 G
- All situations
- 2 G1.9
- 1.41 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.2
- 0.50 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 1.90
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/5
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 21
- Hits
- 17
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 12
- Giveaways
- 11
- 4
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
OTT leads 3-0
1@
2this game
3@
2OTFinal
2@
1OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















