Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Ottawa Senators beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in overtime, Tim Stützle scoring at 3:19. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Stützle's goal at 3:19 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — OTT 2.5, PHI 2.3; shots on goal were OTT 14, PHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Samuel Ersson stopped 11 of 14 (.786). Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (2 G), 2. Michael Amadio (1 G), 3. Matvei Michkov (1 G).
Three stars
- ★T. Stützle2 G

- ★★M. Amadio1 G

- ★★★M. Michkov1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-05:14
2-06:19
2nd period
2-111:23
3rd period
2-29:55
Overtime
3-23:19
Penalties
1st
- 12:07
Artem Zub · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
- 14:42
Emil Andrae · Interferencedrawn by Lars Eller2 min
2nd
- 6:41
Nick Cousins · Slashingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min
- 9:03
Ridly Greig · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
- 9:03
Travis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
- 14:14
Dylan Cozens · Boardingdrawn by Noah Juulsen2 min
- 14:14
Noah Juulsen · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min
3rd
- 2:07
Matvei Michkov · Trippingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Tim Stützle, OT 3:19 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.53 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.3
- 2.33 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.8
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.30
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 14
- Shots on goal
- 22
- 55%
- Faceoffs
- 45%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 18
- Hits
- 26
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 16
- Giveaways
- 13
- 5
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
OTT leads 3-0
1@
2Final
3@
2OTthis game
2@
1OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
