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Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers

Final/OTTV NBCSP, TSN5·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in overtime, Tim Stützle scoring at 3:19. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Stützle's goal at 3:19 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — OTT 2.5, PHI 2.3; shots on goal were OTT 14, PHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Samuel Ersson stopped 11 of 14 (.786). Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (2 G), 2. Michael Amadio (1 G), 3. Matvei Michkov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    T. Stützle2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    M. Amadio1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    M. Michkov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT26060111314
PHIPHI041101800222

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    slapxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:14
  2. OTT
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:19

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:23

3rd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.27win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:55

Overtime

  1. OTT
    snapxG 0.28win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:19

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·PHI 8 PIM

1st

  • 12:07OTTArtem Zub · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Zegras2 min
  • 14:42PHIEmil Andrae · Interferencedrawn by Lars Eller2 min

2nd

  • 6:41OTTNick Cousins · Slashingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min
  • 9:03OTTRidly Greig · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 9:03PHITravis Konecny · Roughingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 14:14OTTDylan Cozens · Boardingdrawn by Noah Juulsen2 min
  • 14:14PHINoah Juulsen · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Cozens2 min

3rd

  • 2:07PHIMatvei Michkov · Trippingdrawn by Shane Pinto2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalOTT goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Tim Stützle, OT 3:19 — OTT 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Drysdale · Goal · xG 0.27T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.17B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.16M. Michkov · Goal · xG 0.15T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.14R. Abols · On goal · xG 0.13T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.13B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.12O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.10B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.10T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.08N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.06C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.06B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.06B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.05O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.05N. Grebenkin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.03R. Abols · Missed · xG 0.03N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.03C. York · Missed · xG 0.02E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.02N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.02C. York · Missed · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.01N. Grebenkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 2.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsPHI
2.53 G
All situations
2 G2.3
2.33 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT54%46%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsPHI
14
Shots on goal
22
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/2
8
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
26
17
Blocked shots
10
16
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000-200.02020—24:00
72T. ChabotD011+200.20150—23:02
24D. CozensC000030.380025620:02
12S. PintoC011000.380006019:11
3N. JensenD000000.02100—18:56
18T. StützleC202+220.441205818:26
2A. ZubD000010.01032—18:23
28C. GirouxR011000.000105018:20
43T. KlevenD000010.03010—18:18
19D. BathersonR011020.57000—17:41
10J. SpenceD000+100.00200—17:19
71R. GreigC011010.03112015:44
20F. ZetterlundL000020.30400—14:55
22M. AmadioR101+110.08300—13:59
57D. PerronL011+110.08210—12:54
89L. EllerC000-100.001105610:41
21N. CousinsC000-100.0120210010:25
15O. LycksellR000000.00000—09:41
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)22202.9092.30+0.3063:19

Season series

OTT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).