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Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Florida Panthers 3-1. The Panthers scored first; the Devils answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Timo Meier's goal at 6:23 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.0 to 2.0; shots on goal were FLA 22, NJD 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Jake Allen stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Timo Meier (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jack Hughes (1 G), 3. Nico Hischier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    T. Meier1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Hughes1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA160907122
NJDNJD01211328333

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.32win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:59

2nd period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes(1)PPG
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:48

3rd period

  1. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +28 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:23
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:47

Penalties

FLA 12 PIM·NJD 12 PIM

1st

  • 4:56NJDLuke Hughes · Trippingdrawn by Uvis Balinskis2 min
  • 8:24FLAMackie Samoskevich · Trippingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 9:02NJDLuke Hughes · Holding the stickdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 11:33FLAserved by C. Verhaeghe · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 16:38NJDCody Glass · Roughingdrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 16:38FLAMackie Samoskevich · Roughingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
  • 17:47FLABrad Marchand · Interferencedrawn by Jack Hughes2 min

2nd

  • 5:04FLAEvan Rodrigues · Trippingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 10:43NJDJesper Bratt · Interferencedrawn by Mackie Samoskevich2 min
  • 18:25NJDBrenden Dillon · Hookingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min

3rd

  • 0:38NJDJesper Bratt · Hookingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 18:43FLAserved by E. Rodrigues · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalFLA goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Timo Meier, 3rd 6:23 — NJD 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.23L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.20T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.15C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.15T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.14C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.14O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.13D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.13J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.12N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.11J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.11J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.10O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.10J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.08L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.08J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.07A. Gritsyuk · Missed · xG 0.07J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.07D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.04B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.04P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01B. Halonen · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 3.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsNJD
2.01 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA30%70%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsNJD
22
Shots on goal
33
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/5
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
12
27
Hits
22
18
Blocked shots
20
14
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000010.02110—25:42
3S. JonesD011-100.12620—24:47
42G. ForslingD000-130.03230—23:11
13S. ReinhartC000000.113002522:31
23C. VerhaegheC000010.0400010018:02
9S. BennettC000-110.063205617:58
77N. MikkolaD000000.00000—17:58
15A. LundellC000010.090207017:19
63B. MarchandL011-140.55002—16:09
11M. SamoskevichR000040.23214—14:57
17E. RodriguesC101-140.420025014:41
27E. LuostarinenC000000.102207513:59
2J. PetryD000010.10100—13:46
71L. KuninC000000.000305011:40
70J. BoqvistC000000.002006709:51
10A. GreerL000000.00310—09:46
26U. BalinskisD000010.10000—09:35
12J. GadjovichL000010.01210—09:03
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(L)33303.9093.01+0.0159:05

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).