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New Jersey Devils at Florida Panthers

FinalTV MSGSN, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the New Jersey Devils 1-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Reinhart's goal at 12:58 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were NJD 32, FLA 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Sam Reinhart (1 G), 3. Gustav Forsling (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    G. Forsling1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD01307012032
FLAFLA1901104124

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:58

Penalties

NJD 2 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

2nd

  • 16:07FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Paul Cotter2 min
  • 18:24FLAA.J. Greer · Trippingdrawn by Luke Hughes2 min

3rd

  • 10:35NJDSimon Nemec · Hookingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalNJD goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Sam Reinhart, 1st 12:58 — FLA 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.21A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.16B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.16S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.16S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.11E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.10A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.07U. Balinskis · Missed · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.07N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.06J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.06N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.06A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.05N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.05S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.04J. Devine · On goal · xG 0.04N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.03N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.03B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.03M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.02U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02J. Devine · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA1 G · 2.4 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsFLA
1.90 G
All situations
1 G2.4
1.20 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD39%61%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsFLA
32
Shots on goal
24
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
22
13
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17S. NemecD000010.14122—25:04
13N. HischierC000-140.541205922:33
91D. MercerC000020.120004321:56
7D. HamiltonD000040.09210—21:39
43L. HughesD000-110.06010—21:13
63J. BrattL000-160.12010—20:44
28T. MeierR000010.1812010020:11
81A. GritsyukR000-120.13110—19:04
71J. SiegenthalerD000020.07320—18:32
16C. BrownR000010.00100—16:30
44D. CholowskiD000010.05010—15:52
5B. DillonD000-110.01200—13:59
47P. CotterL000010.08600—12:29
11S. NoesenR000020.1910010011:39
18O. PalatL000000.00000—10:09
14L. GlendeningC000020.092005010:08
33E. DadonovL000010.03000—09:31
83J. LammikkoC000000.002005008:20
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)24231.9582.41+1.4158:27

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).