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Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers

FinalTV ESPN, SN1·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Rangers 3-0. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Brazeau's goal at 19:28 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 47% to 62%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were PIT 31, NYR 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Arturs Silovs stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Arturs Silovs (25 saves, 1.000), 2. Justin Brazeau (2 G), 3. Igor Shesterkin (28 saves, .966).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    A. Silovs25 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Brazeau2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin28 saves, .966

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT1808215331
NYRNYR0701305025

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:28

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.94win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-0
    17:48
  2. PIT
    R. Shea (1), C. Dewar (1)
    wristxG 0.52win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-0
    18:08

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·NYR 2 PIM

1st

  • 0:59PITHarrison Brunicke · Hookingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min
  • 7:33NYRAdam Fox · Interferencedrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

2nd

  • 18:55PITKris Letang · Trippingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalPIT goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Justin Brazeau, 1st 19:28 — PIT 47% → 62%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.15C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.10A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.08J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.08T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.07T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.06T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.04W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.04A. Edstrom · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.00S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR0 G · 1.9 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYR
3.81 G
All situations
0 G1.9
2.41 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT59%41%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 1.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYR
31
Shots on goal
25
53%
Faceoffs
48%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
22
Hits
34
20
Blocked shots
17
19
Giveaways
17
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28P. WotherspoonD000000.00210—23:15
58K. LetangD000+310.02112—22:47
5R. SheaD011+200.01030—22:31
65E. KarlssonD000+120.18020—20:33
87S. CrosbyC000020.171005717:49
71E. MalkinC022+210.030101416:28
67R. RakellR000040.11020—15:57
39A. ManthaR011+230.20310—15:41
82C. JonesD000010.02210—15:36
45H. BrunickeD000010.01022—15:21
81B. KindelC000010.080108015:11
41V. KoivunenR000010.17010—14:31
19C. DewarC011+100.07420014:11
46B. LizotteC101+140.680005713:55
55N. AcciariC000+110.064105013:40
53P. TomasinoR000020.28000—13:37
16J. BrazeauR202+261.66400—12:49
18T. NovakC000010.0711010012:08
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37A. Silovs(W)252501.0001.90+1.9060:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).