New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Rangers 6-5. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noel Acciari's goal at 6:05 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 5.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYR 20, PIT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.0 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Noel Acciari (2 G), 2. Anthony Mantha (2 G), 3. Alexis Lafrenière (2 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★N. Acciari2 G

- ★★A. Mantha2 G

- ★★★A. Lafrenière2 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
11 goals1st period
0-12:37
0-26:05
2nd period
0-312:59
1-318:28
3rd period
1-41:20
1-51:40
2-59:12
3-515:15
3-617:28
4-618:53
5-619:49
Penalties
1st
- 6:10
Rutger McGroarty · Trippingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
- 17:40
Scott Morrow · Hookingdrawn by Rutger McGroarty2 min
2nd
- 3:19
Matthew Robertson · Interferencedrawn by Justin Brazeau2 min
- 10:56
Jonny Brodzinski · High stickingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
- 17:09
Sam Carrick · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
- 17:09
Anthony Mantha · Slashingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min
- 18:15
served by E. Malkin · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 20:00
Will Cuylle · Holdingdrawn by Parker Wotherspoon2 min
3rd
- 4:37
Ilya Solovyov · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Rempe2 min
- 8:24
Will Borgen · Roughingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Noel Acciari, 1st 6:05 — 66% → 80%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.35 G
- All situations
- 5 G5.0
- 1.43 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.7
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.1
- 0.31 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 3.93
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 20
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 61%
- Faceoffs
- 39%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 1/5
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 26
- Hits
- 16
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 12
- Giveaways
- 12
- 2
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 2-2
3@
0Final
6@
1Final
5@
6this game
2@
3SOFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
