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Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild

Final/OTTV FDSNNO, Victory+·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2 in overtime, Matt Boldy scoring at 4:42. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Eriksson Ek's goal at 19:38 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 3% to 51%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were ANA 29, MIN 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 37 of 40 (.925); Filip Gustavsson stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (5 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Fleury5 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA112031905229
MINMIN11201111413340

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:47
  2. ANA
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:48

3rd period

  1. ANA
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:45
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.12win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:38

Overtime

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.18win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:42

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·MIN 2 PIM

1st

  • 18:50ANAFrank Vatrano · Holdingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

2nd

  • 0:54ANAJackson LaCombe · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

OT

  • 0:18MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Slashingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalANA goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Joel Eriksson Ek, 3rd 19:38 — MIN 3% → 51%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.39M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.18J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.14M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.14J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.13K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.12M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.11M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.09M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.09M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.08B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.07G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.06M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.05M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.05M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.05B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.05M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.03M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.03G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.00B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.00B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 3.3 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsMIN
2.72 G
All situations
3 G3.3
2.42 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 108 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA41%59%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsMIN
29
Shots on goal
40
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
22
14
Blocked shots
16
13
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. LaCombeD000+110.09002—29:15
7R. GudasD000000.01330—25:36
65J. TroubaD000-210.03520—24:40
23M. McTavishC011020.310106220:59
19T. TerryR000010.0600010020:01
11T. ZegrasC011+100.00000019:31
91L. CarlssonC011-180.440005019:00
43D. HellesonD000000.00210—17:34
16R. StromeC000020.130105017:23
77F. VatranoR000010.07122—17:05
17A. KillornL101-130.39100—16:56
64S. ColangeloR101+120.19120—16:38
51O. ZellwegerD000030.08000—16:27
61C. GauthierL011-130.68020—15:51
74I. MooreD000010.02100—11:16
21I. LundestromC000-100.00100008:54
38J. HarkinsC000000.00100008:50
42T. WasheC000010.23100006:24
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(O)40373.9253.29+0.2964:42

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).