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Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV FDSNNOX, Victory+·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Anaheim Ducks 5-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Foligno's goal at 9:11 of the first period, which took the Wild's chances from 59% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.3 to 3.2; shots on goal were MIN 31, ANA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Frank Vatrano, 3. Filip Gustavsson (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    F. Vatrano
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN31001229531
ANAANA010015210235

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:31
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:11
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-0
    12:32

3rd period

  1. ANA
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.11win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    2:16
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.11win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-1
    14:20
  3. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.38Video
    5-1
    17:44
  4. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.06Video
    5-2
    19:47

Penalties

MIN 16 PIM·ANA 10 PIM

1st

  • 14:36MINJakub Lauko · Interferencedrawn by Mason McTavish2 min

2nd

  • 2:35MINDeclan Chisholm · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Trevor Zegras0 min
  • 6:45ANAAlex Killorn · Cross checkingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 9:23MINRyan Hartman · Hookingdrawn by Cutter Gauthier2 min
  • 19:15MINKirill Kaprizov · High stickingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min

3rd

  • 7:10MINMatt Boldy · Hookingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 9:12MINZach Bogosian · High sticking double minordrawn by Troy Terry4 min
  • 16:15ANARadko Gudas · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 20:00ANARadko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min
  • 20:00ANARoss Johnston · Roughingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 20:00MINZach Bogosian · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 20:00ANARadko Gudas · Cross checkingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 20:00MINYakov Trenin · Slashingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalMIN goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Marcus Foligno, 1st 9:11 — MIN 59% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.25M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.20F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.18R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.17T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.17M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.16J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.15T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.15L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.12C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.12T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.11R. Fabbri · Goal · xG 0.11F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.11M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.11F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.10B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.09T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.08O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.08T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.08L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.08R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.07U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.07T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.06M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.06O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.06M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.06R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.06R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.05J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.05J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.05R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.05T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.05R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.05U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.05M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.04O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.04R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.04T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.04B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.04P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.03R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 4.4 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsANA
3.25 G
All situations
2 G4.3
2.14 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
1.11 G
Power play
0 G1.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN32%68%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 4.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsANA
31
Shots on goal
35
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/2
Power play
0/6
16
Penalty minutes
10
9
Hits
21
21
Blocked shots
18
20
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD000010.04020—23:03
7B. FaberD022+210.02140—22:40
46J. SpurgeonD000-120.09110—20:30
5J. MiddletonD101+320.11210—19:42
14J. Eriksson EkC011+140.450105017:31
24Z. BogosianD000+100.00016—17:29
97K. KaprizovL213+150.70002—16:28
12M. BoldyL000+210.0900210015:53
36M. ZuccarelloR011+200.06020—15:16
23M. RossiC112060.871005715:01
89F. GaudreauC011+100.000007514:53
90M. JohanssonL000+120.29030—14:24
13Y. TreninC000020.14202013:58
38R. HartmanR000-130.1500210013:31
47D. ChisholmD011-100.00000—13:13
17M. FolignoL101+120.14220—12:29
22M. KhusnutdinovC000000.000406712:05
94J. LaukoC000-100.06002010:08
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)35332.9434.35+2.3559:46

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).