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Utah Hockey Club at Blues
NHL

Utah Mammoth at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV FDSNMW, Utah16·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Utah Mammoth 6-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Buchnevich's goal at 11:17 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were UTA 23, STL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 23 of 29 (.793), 2.7 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Schenn (1 G, 1 A), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jimmy Snuggerud (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Snuggerud1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA0511404123
STLSTL4120928629

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.26win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:08
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:17
  3. STL
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    14:45
  4. STL
    Z. Bolduc(19)PPG
    R. Thomas (60), C. Fowler (30)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    19:13

2nd period

  1. UTA
    C. Keller(30)PPG
    slapxG 0.05win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-4
    5:40

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(35)PPG
    snapxG 0.19win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    6:59
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.53Video
    1-6
    17:24

Penalties

UTA 22 PIM·STL 18 PIM

1st

  • 14:03UTALawson Crouse · Roughingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko2 min
  • 16:53UTALogan Cooley · Holdingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
  • 17:47UTABarrett Hayton · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 3:03UTASean Durzi · Trippingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 5:34STLNathan Walker · Cross checkingdrawn by Dylan Guenther2 min
  • 11:14STLZachary Bolduc · Trippingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
  • 14:59STLMathieu Joseph · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 6:31UTAClayton Keller · Trippingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 7:31STLAlexey Toropchenko · Hookingdrawn by Josh Doan2 min
  • 10:55UTABarrett Hayton · Trippingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 10:55STLMathieu Joseph · Misconduct10 min
  • 10:55UTABarrett Hayton · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalUTA goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Pavel Buchnevich, 1st 11:17 — STL 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.53O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.26B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.26J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.19B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.19J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.18J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.16P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.13R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.12J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.11P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Bolduc · Goal · xG 0.09R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.09J. Snuggerud · Goal · xG 0.08J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.07C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.05C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.05J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.03J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.01A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.01
STL6 G · 3.3 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsSTL
2.21 G
All situations
6 G3.3
1.30 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
1.01 G
Power play
3 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA31%69%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.15 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsSTL
23
Shots on goal
29
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
3/6
22
Penalty minutes
18
19
Hits
11
11
Blocked shots
21
27
Giveaways
21
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011-130.09110—24:58
50S. DurziD000-200.00032—21:42
28I. ColeD000-200.00020—20:25
2O. MaattaD000000.00010—19:02
9C. KellerR101-220.33002—17:33
22J. McBainC000010.151003117:25
82K. StenlundC000020.021005916:42
91J. DoanR000040.392005016:33
11D. GuentherR000-110.08100—16:18
7M. KesselringD000-120.06110—16:00
92L. CooleyC000-330.524024015:59
15A. KerfootC000000.202006714:57
67L. CrouseL000010.052125014:29
8N. SchmaltzC011-110.180102913:28
27B. HaytonC000010.0720146413:02
41R. BortuzzoD000010.02100—12:01
17N. BjugstadC000-110.01010010:43
56K. YamamotoR000-100.03100—10:07
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)29236.7933.29-2.7160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).