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Utah Hockey Club at Blues
NHL

Utah Mammoth at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸4
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV FDSNMW, Utah16·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the St. Louis Blues 4-2. The Utah Hockey Club scored first and never trailed. The Utah Hockey Club led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Guenther's goal at 16:39 of the third period, which took the Utah Hockey Club's chances from 48% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Utah Hockey Club, 2.8 to 1.5; shots on goal were UTA 31, STL 15. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Utah Hockey Club win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 13 of 15 (.867); Joel Hofer stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Guenther (1 G, 1 A), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (2 A), 3. Michael Kesselring (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    D. Guenther1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich2 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    M. Kesselring1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA11111426431
STLSTL180215215

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    M. Kesselring(3)
    C. Keller (7), N. Schmaltz (12)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:18
  2. STL
    C. Parayko(4)
    P. Buchnevich (4), J. Neighbours (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:41

2nd period

  1. UTA
    M. Maccelli(3)
    D. Guenther (5), L. Cooley (9)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:09

3rd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(5)
    P. Buchnevich (5)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +37 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:29
  2. UTA
    D. Guenther(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +43 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:39
  3. UTA
    J. McBain(3)EN
    M. Sergachev (8), B. Hayton (3)
    wristxG 0.44win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:56

Penalties

UTA 24 PIM·STL 21 PIM

1st

  • 2:55STLZachary Bolduc · Holdingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 12:21UTAClayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min
  • 13:55UTAserved by N. Bjugstad · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 0:29STLPierre-Olivier Joseph · Instigatordrawn by Maveric Lamoureux2 min
  • 0:29UTAMaveric Lamoureux · Kneeingdrawn by Alexey Toropchenko5 min
  • 0:29STLPierre-Olivier Joseph · Fightingdrawn by Maveric Lamoureux5 min
  • 0:29UTAMaveric Lamoureux · Fightingdrawn by Pierre-Olivier Joseph5 min
  • 0:29STLPierre-Olivier Joseph · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 0:29UTAMaveric Lamoureux · Game misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 0:45STLAlexey Toropchenko · High stickingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalUTA goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Guenther, 3rd 16:39 — UTA 48% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.17C. Parayko · Goal · xG 0.16J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.13B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.11A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.10C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.08R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.07S. Perunovich · Missed · xG 0.06D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.06D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.05N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.01
STL2 G · 1.5 xG · 21 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsSTL
2.83 G
All situations
2 G1.5
2.33 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA67%33%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.38 – 1.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsSTL
31
Shots on goal
15
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/2
Power play
0/3
24
Penalty minutes
21
21
Hits
30
17
Blocked shots
18
16
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011+210.05340—28:00
7M. KesselringD101+230.26100—23:23
28I. ColeD000000.01040—22:37
2O. MaattaD000+100.00100—20:37
15A. KerfootC000030.070004019:56
67L. CrouseL000040.23500—18:28
17N. BjugstadC000010.201205016:19
4J. VälimäkiD000-100.03030—16:00
9C. KellerR011-110.2010210015:30
82K. StenlundC000020.171107314:54
8N. SchmaltzC011010.04010014:47
11D. GuentherR112+230.281005014:01
22J. McBainC101+110.512106712:56
27B. HaytonC011010.080008112:50
92L. CooleyC011+230.331004012:37
63M. MaccelliL101+230.20000—11:25
53M. CarconeL000030.16210—11:19
10M. LamoureuxD000010.022020—05:26
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(W)15132.8671.54-0.4660:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).