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Blackhawks at Senators
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Ottawa Senators

Final/OTTV CHSN, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Ottawa Senators 4-3 in overtime, Frank Nazar scoring at 0:48. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frank Nazar's goal at 0:48 of overtime, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.5 to 1.3; shots on goal were CHI 16, OTT 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Anton Forsberg stopped 12 of 16 (.750), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Bedard (2 G, 1 A), 2. Dylan Cozens (2 A), 3. Spencer Knight (34 saves, .919).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    C. Bedard2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    D. Cozens2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    S. Knight34 saves, .919

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CHICHI24150611416
OTTOTT1152160600337

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.02win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:28
  2. CHI
    snapxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:13
  3. OTT
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:56

2nd period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(9)PPG
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:19
  2. CHI
    C. Bedard(23)PPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:24
  3. OTT
    snapxG 0.14win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-3
    15:06

Overtime

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.04win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:48

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·OTT 8 PIM

1st

  • 18:23CHILandon Slaggert · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

2nd

  • 1:15CHIConnor Bedard · Hookingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 1:58OTTNick Cousins · Trippingdrawn by Wyatt Kaiser2 min
  • 15:01CHIRyan Donato · Trippingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
  • 15:01CHIRyan Donato · Roughingdrawn by Travis Hamonic2 min
  • 15:01OTTTravis Hamonic · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min

3rd

  • 4:37OTTArtem Zub · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 13:44OTTMatthew Highmore · High stickingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalCHI goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Frank Nazar, OT 0:48 — CHI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.18D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.14A. Crookshank · On goal · xG 0.14F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.14D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.13M. Highmore · Missed · xG 0.12D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.11T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.09R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.08N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.08M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.08T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.07A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.07S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.07A. Crookshank · On goal · xG 0.06D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.06M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.05M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.05A. Crookshank · Missed · xG 0.05A. Crookshank · Missed · xG 0.05R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.05A. Gaudette · Missed · xG 0.05D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.04T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.04T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.04T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.03T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.03M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.02T. Kleven · On goal · xG 0.02S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.02R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.02A. Crookshank · On goal · xG 0.02A. Zub · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.01N. Matinpalo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.00F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 2.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsOTT
1.34 G
All situations
3 G2.5
0.93 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.41 G
Power play
2 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI26%74%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.28 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsOTT
16
Shots on goal
37
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/3
Power play
2/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
16
14
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. RinzelD011020.15110—23:49
44W. KaiserD000000.00240—20:38
72A. VlasicD000-100.00010—20:21
98C. BedardC213+240.450025519:04
55A. LevshunovD000+100.00210—18:54
91F. NazarC101+110.070101518:21
5C. MurphyD000+110.01120—18:07
59T. BertuzziL011000.00000—17:15
86T. TeravainenC000000.010005017:05
95I. MikheyevR000+110.02100—16:09
8R. DonatoC011+110.080148015:57
14K. KorchinskiD011+200.00010—15:44
84L. SlaggertL000-100.00302—13:37
20R. GreeneC000010.190003313:29
90J. VelenoC101020.282101413:25
17N. FolignoL011+110.014106713:10
11O. MooreC011+120.04000013:09
73L. ReichelL000-100.00000—12:01
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(W)37343.9192.53-0.4760:48

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).