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Senators at Blackhawks
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Chicago Blackhawks

Final/OTTV CHSN, SN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Tim Stützle scoring at 0:46. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Senators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Stützle's goal at 0:46 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were OTT 26, CHI 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.1 goals below expected; Arvid Soderblom stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tim Stützle (1 G), 2. Josh Norris (1 G, 1 A), 3. Ryan Donato (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    T. Stützle1 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    J. Norris1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    R. Donato1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
OTTOTT210170712426
CHICHI25081700320

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:25
  2. CHI
    backhandxG 0.32win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:38
  3. CHI
    batxG 0.16win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:22
  4. OTT
    batxG 0.50win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:09

2nd period

  1. OTT
    slapxG 0.09win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:29

3rd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.23win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-3
    1:47

Overtime

  1. OTT
    Unassisted
    deflectedxG 0.49win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    0:46

Penalties

OTT 2 PIM·CHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 11:50OTTBrady Tkachuk · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

3rd

  • 5:24CHITeuvo Teravainen · Trippingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalOTT goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Tim Stützle, OT 0:46 — OTT 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.32C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.23P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.19C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.17T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.16R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.11C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.09I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.08C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.06I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.05F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.05P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.05A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.04P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.04C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.04C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.03C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.03L. Slaggert · On goal · xG 0.03W. Kaiser · Missed · xG 0.03P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.02R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.02E. Del Mastro · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · Missed · xG 0.01I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dach · Missed · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.01L. Slaggert · Missed · xG 0.01I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 1.9 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsCHI
2.94 G
All situations
3 G1.9
2.74 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT68%32%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.83 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsCHI
26
Shots on goal
20
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/1
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
10
18
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD022020.04020—23:17
3N. JensenD000+120.08010—22:36
2A. ZubD011+120.03120—21:51
23T. HamonicD000+100.02120—21:04
18T. StützleC101+120.603008319:13
7B. TkachukL101+120.22302—18:36
22M. AmadioR000010.26000—17:34
28C. GirouxR000000.090105016:58
12S. PintoC000030.081205016:50
19D. BathersonR022+210.19200—16:47
33N. MatinpaloD000020.06000—16:20
57D. PerronL101+110.5530010016:05
71R. GreigC000020.271103815:52
9J. NorrisC112+110.121007115:02
72T. ChabotD000010.04010—14:07
81A. GaudetteR000010.060005011:37
15M. HighmoreC000-120.1100010009:22
73N. GregorL000010.06110—08:35
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)20173.8501.93-1.0760:46

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).