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Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV FDSNW, ALT·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-4. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Laferriere's goal at 10:57 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 4.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were COL 26, LAK 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.5 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Laferriere (1 G, 2 A), 2. Kevin Fiala (2 G), 3. Quinton Byfield (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Laferriere1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    K. Fiala2 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    Q. Byfield1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL15111210426
LAKLAK27216110533

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:03
  2. LAK
    K. Fiala(33)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    7:14
  3. COL
    B. Nelson(25)PPG
    C. Coyle (16), M. Necas (55)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:39

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:13
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.05win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-3
    10:57
  3. LAK
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    16:02

3rd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-4
    9:18
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-5
    12:11
  3. COL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.14win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-5
    17:20

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:03COLserved by J. Vesey · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 5:54COLValeri Nichushkin · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 9:37LAKKyle Burroughs · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:59LAKTrevor Moore · High stickingdrawn by Valeri Nichushkin2 min
  • 16:10LAKKyle Burroughs · Hookingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

2nd

  • 6:18COLSam Malinski · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 6:29COLJack Ahcan · Holdingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalCOL goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Laferriere, 2nd 10:57 — LAK 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.49W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.42D. Kuemper · Missed · xG 0.40A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.31P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.30A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.25A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.25K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.21A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.18A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.13Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.12T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.10K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.10A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.09Q. Byfield · Goal · xG 0.09A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.08T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.08A. Turcotte · On goal · xG 0.07A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.06A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.06T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.05A. Laferriere · Goal · xG 0.05J. Malott · On goal · xG 0.05B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.05A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.04Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.04A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.01J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.00T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00J. Moverare · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.00J. Malott · On goal · xG 0.00T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK5 G · 4.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsLAK
2.24 G
All situations
5 G4.8
1.63 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL29%71%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.14 – 3.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsLAK
26
Shots on goal
33
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
22
23
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
70S. MalinskiD101040.26022—23:46
6E. JohnsonD000-130.05120—21:47
49S. GirardD011-220.11020—21:30
10C. CoyleC011-140.420102521:19
88M. NecasC011-100.00100018:18
13V. NichushkinR112+210.13202—18:06
11B. NelsonC202+220.310104717:14
15J. AhcanD000000.01212—17:03
18J. DruryC000-200.041206016:37
62A. LehkonenL011+210.14100—15:37
5W. AamodtD000020.08250—15:09
17P. KellyC000-100.085205015:02
25L. O'ConnorR000-100.00120—14:52
67K. MiddletonD000010.01100—14:52
94J. KivirantaL000-110.17110—14:19
22J. InnalaL000020.24110—10:10
26J. VeseyL000000.00200—10:03
14C. WagnerR000030.131104009:01
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(L)33285.8483.47-1.5357:55

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).