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Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ESPN·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan O'Connor's goal at 5:25 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were LAK 22, COL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. David Rittich stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.0 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (2 G, 1 A), 2. Cale Makar (2 A), 3. Mackenzie Blackwood (22 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Necas2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    C. Makar2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Blackwood22 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK070609022
COLCOL0143517426

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    C. Makar (56), J. Drury (8)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:25
  2. COL
    S. Girard (20), B. Nelson (28)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:57
  3. COL
    M. Necas(26)PPG
    C. Makar (57), J. Drouin (26)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    15:29

3rd period

  1. COL
    J. Drouin(11)PPG
    snapxG 0.11win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-4
    4:56

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:22COLArtturi Lehkonen · Interferencedrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min
  • 12:39LAKPhillip Danault · Holdingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 19:56COLNathan MacKinnon · Cross checkingdrawn by Mikey Anderson2 min

2nd

  • 10:59COLCharlie Coyle · Hookingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 13:53LAKWarren Foegele · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Mackenzie Blackwood2 min

3rd

  • 3:45LAKMikey Anderson · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalLAK goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Logan O'Connor, 2nd 5:25 — COL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.18B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.17L. O'Connor · Goal · xG 0.17M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.11J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.11B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.10V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.09M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.07D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.06K. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.06J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.05L. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.05R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.03D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.02K. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.01K. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.00
COL4 G · 2.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCOL
1.70 G
All situations
4 G2.0
1.10 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.60 G
Power play
2 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK44%56%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCOL
22
Shots on goal
26
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
15
8
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000010.05120—22:31
84V. GavrikovD000-110.01200—21:07
44M. AndersonD000000.02302—19:58
55Q. ByfieldR000020.151004419:48
6J. EdmundsonD000-130.03010—19:19
9A. KempeR000040.41000—18:06
22K. FialaL000010.17100—17:49
11A. KopitarC000000.010005816:50
92B. ClarkeD000-100.00000—16:39
24P. DanaultC000-100.212226416:11
12T. MooreL000-130.09000—16:09
37W. FoegeleL000-110.0101210015:42
14A. LaferriereR000010.061105015:36
21J. SpenceD000-110.01100—14:37
96A. KuzmenkoL000010.30010—14:16
61T. LewisC000-110.070005011:08
79S. HeleniusC000-100.01200010:08
39J. MalottL000-120.09300—09:19
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31D. Rittich(L)26224.8462.01-1.9960:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).