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Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames

FinalTV FDSNNOX, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Minnesota Wild 4-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yegor Sharangovich's goal at 5:31 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.7 to 1.5; shots on goal were MIN 18, CGY 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 2.1 goals below expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikael Backlund (1 G), 2. Yegor Sharangovich (1 G), 3. Ryan Lomberg (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Backlund1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    Y. Sharangovich1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    R. Lomberg1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN070625218
CGYCGY11421216432

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.34win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    16:25

2nd period

  1. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:31
  2. CGY
    N. Kadri(32)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-3
    7:23

3rd period

  1. CGY
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-4
    7:20
  2. MIN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.19Video
    1-4
    15:39
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.11Video
    2-4
    18:30

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

2nd

  • 7:08MINJonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 8:24MINKirill Kaprizov · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
  • 13:19CGYYegor Sharangovich · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 15:02CGYRasmus Andersson · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalMIN goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Yegor Sharangovich, 2nd 5:31 — CGY 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.56M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.52B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.47M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.34M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.17R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.14J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.11R. Lomberg · Goal · xG 0.11Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.10M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.09A. Klapka · On goal · xG 0.08K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · Goal · xG 0.06M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.06R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.06M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.06M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.05M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.04R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · Missed · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.03J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pachal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bean · On goal · xG 0.01M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01A. Klapka · Missed · xG 0.01M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.01M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 3.7 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCGY
1.52 G
All situations
4 G3.7
0.92 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN37%63%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.49 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCGY
18
Shots on goal
32
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
26
18
Blocked shots
24
16
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000-110.03050—27:28
25J. BrodinD000-100.01042—24:10
97K. KaprizovL000-110.20302—22:14
12M. BoldyL000000.002105021:54
23M. RossiC000-100.100105021:10
36M. ZuccarelloR000-110.003105019:49
14J. Eriksson EkC000020.093303618:34
24Z. BogosianD000-110.04100—16:29
47D. ChisholmD000+110.05100—16:13
17M. FolignoL000+110.04310—15:25
90M. JohanssonL000-100.07200—14:37
89F. GaudreauC011000.002006714:21
4J. MerrillD000-100.07000—13:44
41G. NyquistR101-120.25000—12:18
46J. SpurgeonD000010.01120—11:53
38R. HartmanR000+130.200005011:14
13Y. TreninC101+120.22300009:57
18V. HinostrozaC000+120.10100009:27
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)29254.8621.85-2.1547:12
29M. Fleury3301.0000.29+0.2909:36

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).