Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames
Recap
written from the game dataThe Calgary Flames beat the Minnesota Wild 4-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yegor Sharangovich's goal at 5:31 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.7 to 1.5; shots on goal were MIN 18, CGY 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 2.1 goals below expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mikael Backlund (1 G), 2. Yegor Sharangovich (1 G), 3. Ryan Lomberg (1 G).
Three stars
- ★M. Backlund1 G

- ★★Y. Sharangovich1 G

- ★★★R. Lomberg1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-116:25
2nd period
0-25:31
0-37:23
3rd period
0-47:20
1-415:39
2-418:30
Penalties
2nd
- 7:08
Jonas Brodin · Hookingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
- 8:24
Kirill Kaprizov · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
- 13:19
Yegor Sharangovich · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
- 15:02
Rasmus Andersson · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Yegor Sharangovich, 2nd 5:31 — 70% → 85%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.52 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.7
- 0.92 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.9
- 0.60 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.49 – 2.12
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 18
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 25
- Hits
- 26
- 18
- Blocked shots
- 24
- 16
- Giveaways
- 12
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
CGY leads 3-0
3@
4SOFinal
5@
4Final
2@
4this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















