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Flames at Wild
NHL

Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸5
Minnesota Wild
4
FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Minnesota Wild 5-4. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rasmus Andersson's goal at 19:52 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 74% to 89%. Expected goals were close — CGY 2.2, MIN 2.2; shots on goal were CGY 29, MIN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.8 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 3.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Kuzmenko (2 G, 1 A), 2. MacKenzie Weegar (2 A), 3. Rasmus Andersson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    A. Kuzmenko2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Weegar2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY15214210529
MINMIN1507313425

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    A. Kuzmenko(3)PPG
    N. Kadri (17), M. Weegar (18)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:58
  2. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(8)
    M. Zuccarello (23), K. Kaprizov (28)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:34

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Pospisil(3)
    A. Kuzmenko (10), Y. Sharangovich (7)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +10 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:28
  2. CGY
    R. Andersson(7)PPG
    M. Backlund (11), M. Pospisil (12)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:52

3rd period

  1. CGY
    C. Bishop(1)
    R. Lomberg (4)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-1
    11:53
  2. MIN
    F. Gaudreau(8)PPG
    R. Hartman (9), M. Rossi (24)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-2
    14:15
  3. CGY
    A. Kuzmenko(4)
    Y. Sharangovich (8), M. Weegar (19)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.08win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-2
    14:29
  4. MIN
    M. Foligno(7)
    M. Rossi (25), M. Boldy (24)
    wristxG 0.30Video
    5-3
    18:46
  5. MIN
    M. Zuccarello(12)
    J. Spurgeon (10), M. Rossi (26)
    tip-inxG 0.39win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-4
    19:33

Penalties

CGY 15 PIM·MIN 17 PIM

1st

  • 5:01MINJake Middleton · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

2nd

  • 4:40MINJakub Lauko · Boardingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
  • 4:40MINYakov Trenin · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 4:40CGYRasmus Andersson · Roughingdrawn by Yakov Trenin2 min
  • 7:23CGYJoel Hanley · Hookingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 11:02MINJakub Lauko · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg5 min
  • 11:02CGYRyan Lomberg · Fightingdrawn by Jakub Lauko5 min
  • 14:49MINMarc-Andre Fleury · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 14:49MINMats Zuccarello · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 14:49CGYRasmus Andersson · Roughingdrawn by Marc-Andre Fleury2 min
  • 14:49CGYJonathan Huberdeau · Cross checkingdrawn by Declan Chisholm2 min
  • 18:17MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Trippingdrawn by Matt Coronato2 min

3rd

  • 12:40CGYBlake Coleman · Holdingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalCGY goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Rasmus Andersson, 2nd 19:52 — CGY 74% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.39M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.30F. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.19M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.12F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.10M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.10M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.09M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · Goal · xG 0.07F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.05M. Khusnutdinov · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.05J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.05J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.04M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.04M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02L. Ohgren · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.01M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.01L. Ohgren · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.01L. Ohgren · Missed · xG 0.01
MIN4 G · 2.2 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsMIN
2.25 G
All situations
4 G2.2
1.53 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.42 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY43%57%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 2.18

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsMIN
29
Shots on goal
25
62%
Faceoffs
38%
2/3
Power play
1/2
15
Penalty minutes
17
20
Hits
23
13
Blocked shots
20
8
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
52M. WeegarD022+210.01110—26:03
4R. AnderssonD101010.21214—24:30
11M. BacklundC011-220.100006121:14
20B. ColemanL000-210.26012—21:14
62D. MiromanovD000030.08010—20:21
91N. KadriC011-120.421006020:00
10J. HuberdeauL000-130.14102—19:13
27M. CoronatoR000-270.3811010019:00
22J. PelletierL000-110.0410010017:30
44J. HanleyD000-210.00022—17:30
94B. PachalD000010.03520—16:06
17Y. SharangovichC022+200.000006014:34
96A. KuzmenkoL213+230.25000—14:25
76M. PospisilC112+220.24410013:54
7K. BahlD000000.00020—10:12
70R. LombergL011+100.00105—07:56
61C. BishopC101+110.05200006:55
21K. RooneyC000+100.001106005:48
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(W)25214.8402.19-1.8160:00

Season series

CGY leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).