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Stars at Wild
NHL

Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
Minnesota Wild
▸3
Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Dallas Stars 3-2 in overtime, Marco Rossi scoring at 0:58. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marco Rossi's goal at 0:58 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were DAL 25, MIN 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 38 of 41 (.927); Filip Gustavsson stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (1 G, 2 A), 2. Marco Rossi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Marcus Foligno (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Rossi1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Foligno1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL170141400225
MINMIN01301021711341

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(34)
    M. Rantanen (53), E. Lindell (20)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:51

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(26)
    R. Hartman (14), J. Spurgeon (24)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +26 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:08
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno(13)
    M. Rossi (34), M. Boldy (40)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +27 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:00
  3. DAL
    T. Harley(16)
    M. Marchment (25), M. Duchene (50)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +35 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:05

Overtime

  1. MIN
    M. Rossi(24)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (30), M. Boldy (41)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    0:58

Penalties

DAL 8 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:08MINMatt Boldy · Boardingdrawn by Oskar Bäck2 min

2nd

  • 3:20MINRyan Hartman · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 5:25DALserved by M. Marchment · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:56DALLian Bichsel · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 19:19DALJason Robertson · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min

3rd

  • 10:55MINMarcus Johansson · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 16:33MINBrock Faber · Trippingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

OT

  • 0:13DALJason Robertson · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalDAL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Marco Rossi, OT 0:58 — MIN 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.40M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.37M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.26F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.21R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.20M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.18G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.16M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.15M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.14M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.11F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.09M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.08D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.07Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.03D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.02D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.02M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.02G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hinostroza · On goal · xG 0.01D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hinostroza · Missed · xG 0.00Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.00M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 3.3 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsMIN
2.02 G
All situations
3 G3.3
0.92 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL29%71%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.92 – 3.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsMIN
25
Shots on goal
41
64%
Faceoffs
36%
0/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
27
10
Blocked shots
14
18
Giveaways
15
1
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55T. HarleyD101020.15020—24:52
23E. LindellD011+110.00210—23:33
53W. JohnstonC000-120.282007122:10
46I. LyubushkinD000-100.02010—21:26
21J. RobertsonL101+110.15204—20:38
96M. RantanenR011+140.3900010019:45
44C. CeciD000020.00020—18:17
24R. HintzC000+100.000008016:25
14J. BennL000-130.343002515:49
64M. GranlundC000030.29100015:49
95M. DucheneC011000.000005515:22
3M. DumbaD000030.17100—14:28
18S. SteelC000000.000108813:04
63E. DadonovL000-100.00010—13:03
27M. MarchmentL011010.08110—12:22
6L. BichselD000010.03512—11:30
22M. BourqueC000010.050002010:32
10O. BäckC000010.00000007:53
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(O)41383.9273.27+0.2760:58

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).