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Wild at Stars
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
0
Dallas Stars
▸3
FinalTV FDSNNO, Victory+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Minnesota Wild 3-0. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Wyatt Johnston's goal at 15:01 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 56% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 5.2 to 3.3; shots on goal were MIN 32, DAL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 3.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Oettinger (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Wyatt Johnston (1 G), 3. Matt Duchene (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger32 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    DAL
    W. Johnston1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    M. Duchene1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN08013011032
DALDAL0921119329

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(26)PPG
    T. Harley (30), R. Hintz (31)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:01
  2. DAL
    M. Duchene(27)
    M. Granlund (40), J. Benn (28)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:59

3rd period

  1. DAL
    M. Marchment(18)EN
    R. Hintz (32), M. Rantanen (46)
    snapxG 0.67Video
    0-3
    19:17

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:24DALMason Marchment · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 16:49MINDeclan Chisholm · Trippingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 19:13DALRoope Hintz · Interferencedrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 19:23MINJared Spurgeon · Slashingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 19:51DALMikko Rantanen · Holdingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min

2nd

  • 14:16MINFrederick Gaudreau · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 18:31MINJon Merrill · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min

3rd

  • 8:44DALserved by M. Marchment · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:55MINZach Bogosian · Holdingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalMIN goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Wyatt Johnston, 2nd 15:01 — DAL 56% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.67M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.36M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.31M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.23S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.21R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.20M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.18C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.16R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.16J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.16J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.14M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.13M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.13M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.12M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.11M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.10T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.10M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.09W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.09W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.08E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.08C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.08T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.08C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.08M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.07R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.06W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.05T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.05J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.04T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.03L. Bichsel · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.02L. Bichsel · On goal · xG 0.02L. Bichsel · Missed · xG 0.02M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.02T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.02M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.01M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.01M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.01L. Bichsel · Missed · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 5.2 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsDAL
3.30 G
All situations
2 G5.2
1.70 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
1.60 G
Power play
1 G1.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN37%63%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.25 – 4.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsDAL
32
Shots on goal
29
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/4
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
15
22
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000010.18260—29:45
5J. MiddletonD000010.01120—25:18
46J. SpurgeonD000-220.04012—21:20
12M. BoldyL000-170.512305021:07
36M. ZuccarelloR000-240.35110—20:33
23M. RossiC000-120.670003119:13
38R. HartmanR000-130.713105619:06
90M. JohanssonL000-220.16100—17:23
89F. GaudreauC000-110.151025316:55
41G. NyquistR000030.21020—15:57
24Z. BogosianD000-130.11212—15:00
18V. HinostrozaC000010.10300014:44
13Y. TreninC000000.01410014:43
4J. MerrillD000000.04202—12:29
21B. GaunceC000000.011106708:13
47D. ChisholmD000000.00022—07:51
19D. ShoreC000010.04200007:40
15J. BrazeauR000010.01110—07:03
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)28262.9294.21+2.2158:50

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).