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Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins

FinalTV FDSNSO, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Elias Lindholm's goal at 19:47 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals were close — CAR 2.8, BOS 2.7; shots on goal were CAR 40, BOS 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 2.3 goals below expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 39 of 40 (.975), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (3 G, 2 A), 2. Jeremy Swayman (39 saves, .975), 3. Morgan Geekie (1 G, 4 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    J. Swayman39 saves, .975
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    M. Geekie1 G, 4 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR011014115140
BOSBOS21017210527

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    18:49
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:47

2nd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:14

3rd period

  1. BOS
    batxG 0.08win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-4
    1:28
  2. BOS
    M. Geekie (22), M. Lohrei (27)
    wristxG 0.25Video
    0-5
    15:18
  3. CAR
    wristxG 0.30Video
    1-5
    19:05

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·BOS 2 PIM

1st

  • 2:10CARShayne Gostisbehere · Interferencedrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 7:01BOSFabian Lysell · Holding the stickdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min

2nd

  • 4:51CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalCAR goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Elias Lindholm, 1st 19:47 — BOS 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.25E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.19J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.16P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.16F. Lysell · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.11P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.11D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.10M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.09M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.06E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.06C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.06A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.06I. Mitchell · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.04V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.04A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.04F. Lysell · On goal · xG 0.04M. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.04F. Minten · Missed · xG 0.03A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.03C. Koepke · On goal · xG 0.03P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.02I. Mitchell · On goal · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01J. Beecher · Missed · xG 0.01M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS5 G · 2.7 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsBOS
2.81 G
All situations
5 G2.7
2.61 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR53%47%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsBOS
40
Shots on goal
27
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
12
Hits
39
7
Blocked shots
25
17
Giveaways
25
6
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26S. WalkerD000030.13100—23:20
7D. OrlovD000000.01110—22:36
22L. StankovenC000070.34010019:31
4S. GostisbehereD011+100.03002—18:49
74J. SlavinD000-520.02020—18:36
8B. BurnsD000-520.07010—18:33
50E. RobinsonL000-110.14000—17:31
56S. MorrowD011+140.07000—17:22
77M. JankowskiL000-130.052005817:10
48J. MartinookL000-210.05110—16:06
71T. HallL000-140.52010—15:36
96J. RoslovicC000-120.222005515:19
27T. JostC000-130.2830010014:57
46J. RobidasC101+120.382003614:03
20S. AhoC000-310.090026313:08
24S. JarvisR000-140.35000—12:53
53J. BlakeR000-200.01000—12:48
82J. KotkaniemiC000010.0700010007:42
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)27225.8152.73-2.2760:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).